Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8/16/25 16:10
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

the Red Sox -1.5 Runs

+110
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

After a stellar pitching job in Game 1, the Boston Red Sox will try to earn a convincing win against the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of their series at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox continue to strengthen their position in the wild card race after earning a 2-1 win over the Marlins in the series opener. Boston currently sits in second place in the American League wild card race with a 65-57 record, 1.5 games ahead of their rivals NY Yankees, and 1.5 games behind the Seattle Mariners. Apart from their one-run win on Thursday, the Red Sox recorded a huge 14-1 win over the Houston Astros this week, though they also lost twice to the same team in their series.

The Marlins are 58-64 in the season, third in the NL East. Their chance of making the postseason is close to zero, but they have a real good shot at ending their season with a winning record. They are 4-1 in the last five games, absorbing heavy losses to the Braves 1-7 and Cleveland 4-9 as well as close losses to the Guardians 3-4 (Game 1) and the Red Sox. Their only win in this stretch was 13-4 rout of the Guardians in Game 2.

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Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Boston Red Sox
0.549 162 89 73
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  14
Boston Red Sox

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Boston Red Sox
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  7
Kansas City Royals

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
Houston Astros

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  3
Houston Astros
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  14
Boston Red Sox

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  10
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  13
Miami Marlins

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  6
Miami Marlins
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Houston Astros

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  7
Houston Astros

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
New York Yankees

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
New York Yankees

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
13 :  12
New York Yankees
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  13
Miami Marlins

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  6
Miami Marlins

Boston Red Sox against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

80 %

Miami Marlins

20 %

Aug 15, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Jul 2, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Jun 29, 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
0 :  2
Miami Marlins

Boston Red Sox - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. Boston is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games.
  2. Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home.
  3. Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Boston.
  4. Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Up to $250 to bet on Boston Red Sox - Miami Marlins! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Red Sox are in good shape to take a 2-0 lead in this series after tapping Brayan Bello to start on Saturday. Bello is 2-3 with a 3.60 ERA in his last 5 starts, but he recently surrendered five earned runs against the Padres in his last start. Nevertheless, I think Bello would come through with better numbers against the Marlins, whom he limited to one earned run in each of his last two starts against them.

The Marlins are sending Cal Quantrill to match up with Bello. Quantrill surrendered one run in four innings in a 1-7 loss to the Braves on August 10. Against the Red Sox, Quantrill is allowing an average of 3.0 runs in his last three starts against the team. Although Miami is averaging a decent 4.4 runs per game in its last five games and Quantrill is a decent pitcher, Miami bullpen, which is carrying 6.89 ERA in the last five games, could cost them the match like they did in Game 1 when they allowed Trevor Story to hit a walk-off with the bases loaded in the 9th inning.

Our betting prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs the Miami Marlins: the Red Sox -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

the Red Sox -1.5 Runs

+110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Picks