Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8/15/25 19:10
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Total Over 9.0 Runs

-102
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox have won their last three meetings against the Miami Marlins. Will the streak continue for the Red Sox, who have lost four of their last five games.

The Red Sox and the Miami Marlins kick off their series opener on Friday at Fenway Park. Boston is fighting to stay in the AL East championship poker and wildcard race, while Miami is struggling to get to .500 and perhaps finish the season with a winning record.

The Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five games. At 66-56, they sit in second in the AL East, trailing the 71-51 Toronto Blue Jays by five games. Boston’s offense is in good shape, averaging 5.3 runs per game on a .251 BA. On the other hand, their pitching has had a rough week, giving a 4.71 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

Like the Red Sox, the Marlins’ offense are producing solid numbers over the last five games, averaging 5.4 runs per game on a .247 BA. Unfortunately, pitching has been downright atrocious. They have posted a 7.02 ERA and allowed 2.0 home runs per game in the said stretch.

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Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Boston Red Sox
0.549 162 89 73
19 Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83

Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  14
Boston Red Sox

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  10
Boston Red Sox
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  7
Kansas City Royals

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
Houston Astros

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  3
Houston Astros

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  1
Houston Astros
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  14
Boston Red Sox

Aug 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  10
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  13
Miami Marlins

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  6
Miami Marlins

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 6, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Houston Astros

Aug 5, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  7
Houston Astros

Aug 4, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
New York Yankees

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  0
New York Yankees

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
13 :  12
New York Yankees
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 14, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  4
Miami Marlins

Aug 13, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  13
Miami Marlins

Aug 12, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  6
Miami Marlins

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  1
Miami Marlins

Boston Red Sox against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

75 %

Miami Marlins

25 %

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Jul 2, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  8
Boston Red Sox

Jun 29, 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
0 :  2
Miami Marlins

Boston Red Sox - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games.
  4. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games against Miami.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Bet on the Over 9.0 Runs.

The Red Sox and the Marlins are averaging at least five runs per game in their last five assignments. In their last three meeting, these two teams have combined for an average of 10.33 runs per game. Both teams are dealing with pitching issues right now, especially the Marlins, who are giving up a 7.02 ERA in the last five.

The starters for this game are Lucas Giolito of the Red Sox and Sandy Alcantara of the Marlins, who are pitching above 4.00 ERA in their last five mound appearances. Usually, the recipe for a surefire high-scoring game is having two teams that are scoring well but doing miserably on the mound. That’s what the Marlins and the Red Sox are right now.

Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. the Boston Red Sox: Over 9.0 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Total Over 9.0 Runs

-102
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Picks