Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Miami Heat
12/21/25 18:00
New York Knicks

Prediction:

 

Less than 236.5 goals

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The New York Knicks and Miami Heat will renew their intense rivalry this Sunday at Madison Square Garden in what promises to be a physical, defensive-minded contest. The Knicks enter the game as one of the elite teams in the East with a 19-8 record, largely fueled by the high-scoring tandem of Karl-Anthony Towns and Jalen Brunson. New York's chemistry has reached a new peak this season, evidenced by their 140-130 victory over the Heat in NBA Cup play earlier this November.

The Heat, meanwhile, have had a tumultuous December. Despite a 14-12 record, the Heat are currently on a five-game losing streak, most recently falling to the Raptors and Mavericks. Erik Spoelstra's squad has struggled to find offensive rhythm, especially with key players in and out of the lineup, leading to questions about their ability to keep pace with the league's top-tier offenses.

Look for the Knicks to use their size advantage to control the glass and end Miami's hope of snapping their losing streak.

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Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
0.704 27 19 8 -1
7
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
0.536 28 15 13 -1

Miami Heat and New York Knicks Latest Matches

Miami Heat
Miami Heat Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
116 :  129
Boston Celtics

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
106 :  95
Brooklyn Nets

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
106 :  96
Miami Heat

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  117
Orlando Magic

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
127 :  111
Miami Heat

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
105 :  106
Orlando Magic
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
106 :  96
Miami Heat

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
127 :  111
Miami Heat

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
123 :  140
Miami Heat

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
138 :  135
Miami Heat

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
103 :  106
Miami Heat

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
102 :  106
Miami Heat
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
116 :  129
Boston Celtics

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
106 :  95
Brooklyn Nets

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  117
Orlando Magic

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
105 :  106
Orlando Magic

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  118
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
127 :  117
Philadelphia 76ers
New York Knicks
New York Knicks Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
116 :  107
New York Knicks

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
114 :  113
Indiana Pacers

Dec 16, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
113 :  124
New York Knicks

Dec 13, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
132 :  120
Orlando Magic

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
117 :  101
Toronto Raptors

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
100 :  106
New York Knicks
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
116 :  107
New York Knicks

Dec 16, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
113 :  124
New York Knicks

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
100 :  106
New York Knicks

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
112 :  146
New York Knicks

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Charlotte Hornets
104 :  119
New York Knicks

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
94 :  116
New York Knicks
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
114 :  113
Indiana Pacers

Dec 13, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
132 :  120
Orlando Magic

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
117 :  101
Toronto Raptors

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
117 :  123
Boston Celtics

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
129 :  101
Charlotte Hornets

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
113 :  100
Brooklyn Nets

Miami Heat against New York Knicks : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Heat

33 %

New York Knicks

67 %

Nov 17, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
113 :  115
Miami Heat

Nov 14, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
132 :  140
New York Knicks

Oct 26, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
107 :  115
Miami Heat

Mar 17, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
95 :  116
New York Knicks

Mar 2, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
116 :  112
Miami Heat

Oct 30, 2024 - NBA

New York Knicks
116 :  107
Miami Heat

Miami Heat - New York Knicks Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in the Knicks' last 5 games
  2. The Over is 1-4 in the Heat's last 4 games
  3. The Knicks are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
Up to $250 to bet on Miami Heat - New York Knicks! 

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Our Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction

Player performance over the last two weeks has been a tale of two trajectories. For New York, Karl-Anthony Towns has been a revelation, recently putting up a 39-point performance against Miami and averaging a double-double for the season (22.4 PPG, 11.8 RPG). Josh Hart has also been instrumental, recently recording his first triple-double of the season.

For the Heat, Bam Adebayo remains the foundational piece, but the team is severely hampered by injuries. Tyler Herro is Out and has played only six games this season due to a recurring right big toe contusion. In his absence, Norman Powell has stepped up as a perimeter threat, averaging 24.1 points, but the Heat have lacked a secondary playmaker. The Knicks are monitoring Jalen Brunson (ankle) and OG Anunoby (hamstring), both of whom are game-time decisions.

Given Miami's offensive struggles and the absence of Herro's spacing, the Knicks' defense is well-positioned to contain Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. New York has been dominant in the paint this year, ranking in the top five in rebounding, while Miami has dropped into the bottom half of the league in second-chance points allowed. If Brunson is cleared to play, the line will likely move further in New York's favor. Our prediction for New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat: Under 236.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Less than 236.5 goals

-110
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Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Picks