Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks
After stunning the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Miami Heat look to scalp the head of another Western Conference power as they play the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.
Recommended Pick: The Warriors -5.5 points (-108)
Potential Payout: $208 on a $108 Bet
Current Form:
The Heat capped their three-game home stand with a massive win over the Oklahoma City Thunder, 122-120, on January 18. Bam Adebayo chalked up 30 points and 12 boards, and Norman Powell scored 19 points. Andrew Wiggins finished with 15 points and knocked down a go-ahead trey with 31 seconds left on the clock to complete the Heat’s upset of the defending NBA champion.
the Warriors are silently stitching up their best stretch of the season after going 5-1 in their last 6 games. The impressive part about the Warriors’ current run is that they won ballgames without heavily relying on Stephen Curry on offense. In their last three wins, De'Anthony Melton wound up as the top scorer twice (23 points vs. Portland and 24 points vs. the Blazers), while Jimmy Butler erupted for 32 in the win over the Knicks.
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Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0.524 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 2 |
|
20
|
0.451 | 82 | 37 | 45 |
Golden State Warriors and Miami Heat Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 17, 2026 - NBA
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 17, 2026 - NBA
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
Dec 28, 2025 - NBA
Dec 18, 2025 - NBA
Dec 14, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 17, 2026 - NBA
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 10, 2026 - NBA
Jan 6, 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 17, 2026 - NBA
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
Jan 3, 2026 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 10, 2026 - NBA
Jan 6, 2026 - NBA
Jan 1, 2026 - NBA
Dec 26, 2025 - NBA
Dec 21, 2025 - NBA
Golden State Warriors against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Nov 19, 2025 - NBA
Jul 8, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Mar 25, 2025 - NBA
Jan 7, 2025 - NBA
Mar 26, 2024 - NBA
Dec 28, 2023 - NBA
Players list
M. Moody
W. Richard
S. Curry
J. Butler
P. Larsson
N. Powell
D. Mitchell
A. Wiggins
Substitutes
L. Cryer
B. Podziemski
P. Spencer
B. Hield
G. Payton II
J. Kuminga
M. Leons
D. Smith
K. Jakucionis
M. Gardner
N. Jovic
J. Jaquez Jr.
S. Fontecchio
K. Johnson
Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat Key Points
- Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
- Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State.
- Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
- Golden State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Warriors stay hot, torch the Heat 123-112
Reason: The Warriors proved in the last three games that they can win ball games, even if Stephen Curry had an off-night. However, it’s unlikely we will see Curry struggle again from the field, especially against this Heat team that has the 9th-worst defense in the NBA (117.9 points allowed per game). Furthermore, Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games and 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami. Miami will also miss the service of Tyler Herro, who is listed out with a rib injury.
Our betting prediction for the Miami Heat vs. the Golden State Warriors: The Warriors -5.5 points
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.