Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks
The Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat are locked in a rubber match on Friday at State Farm Arena.
Recommended Pick: The Hawks will win
Potential Payout: Bet $100, Win $230 (+130 on DraftKings)
Current Form:
The Hawks opened the second half of the season with a 117-107 win over the Philadelphia 76ers, snapping a three-game losing streak. First-time All-Star Jalen Johnson leads Atlanta in points (23.5 PPG), rebounds (10.6 RPG), and assists (8.1 APG). The Hawks are third in the Southeast Division with a 27-30 record, 3.5 games behind the 29-25 Orlando Magic.
The Heat will try to resume their campaign on a good start when they play the Hawks for the third time this season. Both teams split the regular-season series so far, with Miami taking the first game on December 26 (126-111) and Atlanta winning the next one on February 4 (127-115). Miami is 29-27 in the season, sitting No.2 in the Southeast Division.
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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
0.561 | 82 | 46 | 36 | |
|
17
|
0.524 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 2 |
Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 19, 2026 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Atlanta Hawks against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Feb 3, 2026 - NBA
Dec 26, 2025 - NBA
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
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Players list
D. Daniels
N. Alexander-Walker
J. Johnson
Z. Risacher
P. Larsson
N. Powell
D. Mitchell
A. Wiggins
Substitutes
G. Vincent
C. McCollum
B. Hield
K. Wallace
M. Gueye
C. Kispert
A. Newell
K. Jakucionis
T. Herro
D. Smith
J. Jaquez Jr.
M. Gardner
N. Jovic
K. Johnson
S. Fontecchio
Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat Key Points
- Atlanta is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference
- Atlanta is 2-2 in its last 4 home games
- Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Atlanta.
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Our Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Hawks top the Heat 123-120
Other than Jonathan Kuminga, the Hawks will come in full force against Miami, who have main stars Norman Powell (back) and Tyler Herro (ribs) nursing injuries. Moreover, in their recent meeting on February 3, Atlanta manhandled Miami by pounding the ball inside and hitting 42 percent of their 50 shot attempts from beyond the arc. I expect Jalen Johnson, who posted 29 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists in that game, to lead the Hawks to a home win over the Heat once again. Atlanta is 2-2 in its last four home games, while Miami is 2-3 in its last five games on the road.
Our betting prediction for the Miami Heat vs. the Atlanta Hawks: The Hawks will win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
