Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
10/4/25 19:30
Florida State Seminoles

Prediction:

 

Miami Hurricanes ML

-198
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Picks

Perhaps the biggest game on the Saturday Week 6 college football slate will be an ACC matchup between the 3rd-ranked Miami Hurricanes and the 18th-ranked Florida State Seminoles. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Hurricanes and the Seminoles.

Miami enters this game with a record of 4-0, and this will be their first ACC game of the season. The Hurricanes most recently beat the Florida Gators in Week 4 by a score of 26-7. Miami’s offense had a total of 344 yards, while its defense allowed 141 yards. Quarterback Carson Beck threw for 160 yards and one interception, while running back Mark Fletcher Jr. led the team in rushing with 116 yards and one touchdown.

As for Florida State, they enter this game with a record of 3-1 and are 0-1 in the ACC. The Seminoles most recently lost to the Virginia Cavaliers in Week 5 by a score of 46-38 in double overtime. Florida State’s offense had a total of 514 yards, while its defense allowed 440 yards. Quarterback Tommy Castellanos threw for 254 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while also leading the team in rushing with 78 yards and one touchdown.

Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
4
Miami Hurricanes
Miami Hurricanes
0.75 8 6 0 2
14
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles
0.25 8 2 0 6

Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles Latest Matches

Miami Hurricanes
Miami Hurricanes Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
7 :  26
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
12 :  49
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
3 :  45
Miami Hurricanes

Aug 31, 2025 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
24 :  27
Miami Hurricanes

Dec 28, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Iowa State Cyclones
42 :  41
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
50 :  15
South Florida Bulls
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
7 :  26
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
12 :  49
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
3 :  45
Miami Hurricanes

Aug 31, 2025 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
24 :  27
Miami Hurricanes

Dec 28, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Iowa State Cyclones
42 :  41
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

Ball State Cardinals
0 :  62
Miami Hurricanes
W W W W L L
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Draw

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
50 :  15
South Florida Bulls

Aug 31, 2024 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
41 :  17
Florida Gators
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

3/5 (60%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Defeats

2/5 (40%)

Sep 26, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
38 :  46
Virginia Cavaliers

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Kent State Golden Flashes
10 :  66
Florida State Seminoles

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

East Texas AM Lions
3 :  77
Florida State Seminoles

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
17 :  31
Florida State Seminoles

Aug 24, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
21 :  24
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
L W L W W W
Victories

3/3 (100%)

Draw

0/3 (0%)

Defeats

0/3 (0%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Kent State Golden Flashes
10 :  66
Florida State Seminoles

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

East Texas AM Lions
3 :  77
Florida State Seminoles

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
17 :  31
Florida State Seminoles
L L L L L L
Victories

0/2 (0%)

Draw

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

2/2 (100%)

Sep 26, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
38 :  46
Virginia Cavaliers

Aug 24, 2024 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
21 :  24
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Miami Hurricanes - Florida State Seminoles Key Points

  1. Miami is 3-1 ATS this season
  2. Florida State is 3-1 ATS this season
  3. Miami is averaging 36.8 points per game this season
  4. Florida State is averaging 53.0 points per game this season

Our Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction

The loss by Florida State in Week 5 has certainly taken some of the pedigree out of this game; however, it is still a crucial game as it pertains to the ACC. The Seminoles showed some of their vulnerabilities last week against Virginia, but now return home, looking for a bounce-back win in what is likely a must-win situation.

As for Miami, they are coming off a bye week after completely shutting down Florida in Week 4. Their defense is starting to prove it is one of the best in the country, and they have an explosive rushing attack to help quarterback Carson Beck manage the offense. 

With this being a rivalry, it is sure to be a closely contested game; however, Miami looks too balanced on both sides of the ball. For that reason, our Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles prediction is: Miami Hurricanes ML.

Prediction:

 

Miami Hurricanes ML

-198
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Picks