Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Cleveland Browns
10/19/25 13:00
Miami Dolphins

Prediction:

 

Cleveland -2.5

-115
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 by Bill Christy | in NFL Picks

In a battle between two teams searching for their 2nd victory of the season, the Cleveland Browns will welcome the Miami Dolphins to town on Sunday in a game that will feature 1 team being near the top of the league in 3rd down conversion rate versus a team near the bottom of the league in the same category. Miami is 3rd in the NFL with a 46.5% 3rd down conversion rate and most of that is due in part that they have one of the most dynamic ball carrier and pass catchers in their backfield, Devon Achane. He has accounted for 6 of the team’s 10 total touchdowns on the season on offense and is tied for the lead in receptions with Jaylen Waddle at 29. Yes, they lost Tyreek Hill for the season, but this Miami offense has seemingly not skipped a beat and are averaging 25.5 points per game since the injury. The defense has been the main problem all year for the Phins. Cleveland parted ways with Joe Flacco who was their opening day starting QB and have opted to give rookie Dillon Gabriel the reigns. Things have not changed much in terms of offensive output and total points. The losses have also continued to grow since the trade of Flacco.

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
22 Miami Dolphins
0.412 17 7 10
27 Cleveland Browns
0.294 17 5 12

Cleveland Browns and Miami Dolphins Latest Matches

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
23 :  9
Cleveland Browns

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
17 :  21
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
34 :  10
Cleveland Browns

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
13 :  10
Green Bay Packers

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
41 :  17
Cleveland Browns

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
16 :  17
Cincinnati Bengals
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
17 :  21
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
13 :  10
Green Bay Packers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
16 :  17
Cincinnati Bengals

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
3 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
7 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 21, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
24 :  19
Pittsburgh Steelers
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
23 :  9
Cleveland Browns

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
34 :  10
Cleveland Browns

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
41 :  17
Cleveland Browns

Jan 4, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
35 :  10
Cleveland Browns

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
24 :  6
Cleveland Browns

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
27 :  14
Cleveland Browns
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  29
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
27 :  24
Miami Dolphins

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  21
New York Jets

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  33
New England Patriots

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  29
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  21
New York Jets

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  33
New England Patriots

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
29 :  17
San Francisco 49ers

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
32 :  26
New York Jets

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  15
New England Patriots
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
27 :  24
Miami Dolphins

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
32 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
3 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  12
Miami Dolphins

Cleveland Browns against Miami Dolphins : Head to Head (H2H)

Cleveland Browns

0 %

Miami Dolphins

100 %

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
3 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Cleveland Browns - Miami Dolphins Key Points

  1. Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
  2. Miami is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games when playing as the underdog.
  3. Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
  4. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against Miami.

Our Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

While the spread is inside a field goal, the total is set at only 37.5. This leads us to believe that the team with the better defense should win this game. The Dolphins are 29th in the league and allow 29 points per game while the Browns are allowing just over 24 points per game. We believe the Browns defense will be tough enough in this home contest to get the win and send Tua and company home with another loss on their record.

Prediction:

 

Cleveland -2.5

-115
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Picks