Mexico vs Uruguay Prediction & Picks - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

Mexico
11/15/25 20:00
Uruguay

Prediction:

 

Roberto Alvarado 1+ Shots on Target

-110
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Soccer Picks

On Saturday evening, the Mexicans will continue their preparations ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, for which they are one of three hosts alongside the US and Canada. Visiting the city of Torreon will be the Uruguayans, who like the Mexicans, will also be present at the big tournament next summer. In truth, the preparations aren't going too smoothly, with Saturday's hosts failing to win any of their four games since lifting the Gold Cup back in July. Last time out they tied with Ecuador in front of a home crowd. 

For the visitors, the recent picture is brighter. Most recently, Marcelo Bielsa's men got the better of Uzbekistan away from home, a victory that followed a rather sturdy win at home to the Domincan Republic. We're also talking about a visiting team that has now gone five games without a defeat, winning four of those five. 

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Mexico vs Uruguay Form

Mexico and Uruguay Latest Matches

Mexico
Mexico Latest matches
W W D D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Ecuador

Oct 11, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Colombia

Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Korea Republic

Sep 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Japan

Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

Jul 2, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
Honduras
W W D D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Ecuador

Oct 11, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Colombia

Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Korea Republic

Sep 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Japan

Jul 2, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
Honduras

Jun 28, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia
D L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

Mar 20, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

Jan 21, 2025 - International Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico

Nov 15, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

Sep 10, 2024 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Mexico
Uruguay
Uruguay Latest matches
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 13, 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Uruguay

Oct 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Uruguay
1 :  0
Dominican Republic

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Uruguay

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  0
Peru

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  0
Venezuela

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  0
Uruguay
D W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Uruguay
1 :  0
Dominican Republic

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  0
Peru

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  0
Venezuela

Mar 21, 2025 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  1
Argentina

Nov 15, 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  2
Colombia

Oct 15, 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Ecuador
L D D L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 13, 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Uruguay

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Uruguay

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  0
Uruguay

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Bolivia
0 :  0
Uruguay

Nov 19, 2024 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  1
Uruguay

Oct 11, 2024 - World Cup

Peru
1 :  0
Uruguay

Mexico against Uruguay : Head to Head (H2H)

Mexico

0 %

Draw

0 %

Uruguay

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
3.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Uruguay

Jun 2, 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  3
Uruguay

Sep 7, 2018 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  4
Uruguay

Uruguay v Mexico last Lineups

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

14
M. Ruiz
5
J. Vasquez
15
I. Reyes
12
R. Rangel
3
C. Montes
23
J. Gallardo
22
H. Lozano
9
R. Jimenez
25
R. Alvarado
4
E. Alvarez
18
E. Sanchez
7
R. Aguirre
23
S. Mele
22
J. Piquerez
18
B. Rodriguez
13
G. Varela
2
J. Gimenez
6
R. Bentancur
16
M. Olivera
25
J. Sanabria
15
E. Martinez
14
R. Zalazar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Uruguay

Substitutes

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

L. Malagon

C. Acevedo

Defender

K. Alvarez

M. Chavez

J. Orozco

Midfielder

G. Mora

E. Lira

A. Gutierrez

O. Vargas

F. Ambriz

O. Pineda

Forward

A. Gonzalez

J. Ruvalcaba

D. Lainez

G. Berterame

Uruguay
Uruguay
Goalkeeper

Martinez

C. Fiermarin

Defender

R. Araujo

P. Rodriguez

M. Vina

Midfielder

M. Araujo

S. Homenchenko

N. Nandez

M. Ugarte

Forward

I. Laquintana

L. Rodriguez

F. Torres

Mexico - Uruguay Key Points

  1. Roberto Alvarado has registered three shots on target in his last three appearances for Mexico.
  2. At the 2025 Gold Cup, no player took more shots for Mexico than Roberto Alvarado.
  3. Roberto Alvarado comes into this match having scored last time out at club level.
  4. Roberto Alvarado also arrives off the back of registering two shots on target last time out at club level.
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Our Mexico vs Uruguay Prediction

If we think back to the Gold Cup earlier in 2025, it's not difficult to remember how active Roberto Alvarado was for Mexico in the final third, shooting more times than any other Mexican during that tournament, averaging a very pleasing 1.09 shots on target per 90 minutes. Alvarado has also been in fine shooting form for Guadalajara in Liga MX this season. 

Likely feeling confident following his goal at club level last time out, the forward who also registered two shots on target in his last appearance, registering three shots on target in his last three games for Mexico, may just be a little too leniently priced here. Therefore, I'm taking him to work the Uruguayan keeper at least once on Saturday evening. 

Our Mexico vs Uruguay Pick: Roberto Alvarado 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Roberto Alvarado 1+ Shots on Target

-110
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mexico vs Uruguay Picks