Mexico vs Paraguay Prediction & Picks - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

Mexico
11/18/25 20:30
Paraguay

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

-133
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Soccer Picks

Two teams looking to step on the gas following some underwhelming results will clash in San Antonio, Texas on Tuesday evening. The Mexicans, who tied 0-0 with Uruguay last time out, will take on the Paraguayans, who come into this fixture having lost to the US at the weekend. Will either team improve at Alamodome? 

Realistically, we're talking about a Mexico team that is a little out of shape. Since winning the Gold Cup back in July, they're five games without a win, and they've failed to score in three of those five, which is a little worrying if you're an El Tri fan. It's been a similar story for the Paraguayans, who've won only one of their last seven games, and they too have had a few problems scoring. Can either team use this fixture as a platform from which to build offensively? 

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Mexico vs Paraguay Form

Mexico and Paraguay Latest Matches

Mexico
Mexico Latest matches
W D D L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Uruguay

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Ecuador

Oct 11, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Colombia

Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
South Korea

Sep 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Japan

Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico
W D D L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Uruguay

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Ecuador

Oct 11, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Colombia

Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
South Korea

Sep 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  0
Japan

Jul 2, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
Honduras
D L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

Mar 20, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

Jan 21, 2025 - International Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico

Nov 15, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

Sep 10, 2024 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Mexico
Paraguay
Paraguay Latest matches
L D W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  1
Paraguay

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

South Korea
2 :  0
Paraguay

Oct 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Japan
2 :  2
Paraguay

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Peru
0 :  1
Paraguay

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  0
Paraguay
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  0
Uruguay

Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Chile

Nov 14, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  1
Argentina

Oct 15, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  1
Venezuela

Sep 10, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Brazil
D L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  1
Paraguay

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

South Korea
2 :  0
Paraguay

Oct 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Japan
2 :  2
Paraguay

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Peru
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  0
Paraguay

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
2 :  2
Paraguay

Mexico against Paraguay : Head to Head (H2H)

Mexico

100 %

Draw

0 %

Paraguay

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

6
Total goals
100%
BTTS
4
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2019 - International Friendlies

Mexico
4 :  2
Paraguay
Mexico vs Paraguay Picks

Paraguay v Mexico last Lineups

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

11
G. Mora
15
I. Reyes
14
M. Ruiz
6
E. Lira
20
M. Chavez
21
J. Ruvalcaba
19
J. Orozco
17
O. Pineda
9
R. Jimenez
4
E. Alvarez
1
L. Malagon
20
B. Ojeda
5
A. Duarte
2
G. Velazquez
13
A. Benitez
9
A. Sanabria
10
M. Almiron
8
D. Gomez
24
G. Sandez
12
O. Gill
23
M. Galarza
7
R. Sosa

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Paraguay

Substitutes

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

R. Rangel

C. Acevedo

Defender

K. Alvarez

J. Vasquez

J. Gallardo

C. Montes

Midfielder

F. Ambriz

O. Vargas

A. Gutierrez

E. Sanchez

Forward

A. Gonzalez

G. Berterame

D. Lainez

R. Alvarado

Paraguay
Paraguay
Goalkeeper

A. Perez

G. Fernandez

Defender

J. Caceres

D. Leon

B. Riveros

J. Alonso

G. Gomez

Midfielder

D. Bobadilla

L. Romero

Forward

J. Enciso

A. Arce

D. Gonzalez

A. Romero Gamarra

R. Martinez

Missing players

Mexico
Mexico
Paraguay
Paraguay
Defender

O. Alderete

Mexico - Paraguay Key Points

  1. Three of Mexico's last five games have contained less than three goals.
  2. Three of Paraguay's last five away games have contained less than three goals.
  3. Last time out, the Paraguayans created a measly 0.15 xG.
  4. In their last game, the Mexicans failed to score and created only 0.49 xG.
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Our Mexico vs Paraguay Prediction

Not a great deal happened when the Mexicans took to the field against the Uruguayans at the weekend. No goals were scored, and let's be completely honest, it never really looked like a goal was going to be scored in that fixture. Between them, the two teams mustered only five shots on target, creating no huge chances, posting only 0.49 and 0.08 expected-goal totals. That's poor. 

The Paraguayan's, despite scoring, also struggled to create against the US, registering only 0.15 xG, so it really wouldn't be a surprise if we saw another low-scoring fixture here. In truth, based on what we've seen from these two teams in recent times, I'm not convinced that the early market accurately reflects the chances of a relatively low-scoring encounter, so 'Under 2.5 Goals' is worth taking. 

Our Mexico vs Paraguay Pick: Under 2.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

-133
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.