Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tien Prediction & Picks - Moselle Open

Prediction published on 11/6/25, 9:56 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 11/6/25 at 4:05 PM in Tennis Picks

Learner Tien of the United States will try to go deep again in an ATP 250 event as he locks horns with Matteo Berrettini of Italy for a place in the semifinal of the 2025 Metz Open.

Current Form:

Tien will walk into his first duel with Berrettini as a slight underdog at +104 despite boasting a 72.7 percent win rate in indoor matches. The American improved to 10-3 in his last 13 matches after downing Tunisia’s Moez Echargui 7-6, 6-3 in the round of 16. Tien faced difficulty solving Echargui’s play style in the first set, but he eventually found a way to put the Tunisian away without going the distance. Tien has won 89.1 percent of his first serves after two matches in Moselle.

Berrettini also advanced to the quarterfinal round with a 7-6, 6-3 win over Aleksandar Vukic of Australia. The Italian also dug deep to outlast Vukic in the first set before rattling off three consecutive games to finish off the Aussie in two sets. Berrettini fired 15 aces and won 88 percent of his first serves in the match.