Matteo Berrettini vs Dušan Lajović Prediction & Picks - ATP Rio Open

ATP - ATP Rio Open

ATP 42 Italy
Matteo Berrettini
2/19/26 20:00
ATP 152 Serbia
Dušan Lajović

Prediction:

 

Matteo Berrettini to Win 2-0

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Also taking place at the ATP event in Rio de Janeiro on Thursday is a match between Matteo Berrettini and Dusan Lajovic. This is a battle between Italy and Germany, and on all available evidence, it's a match that the Italian player should win. Berrettini is very capable of winning a tournament of this nature, and if he continues to play like he did during the first round, when he beat Barrios Vera in straight sets, he won't be far away from securing what would be an 11th career title. The former Wimbledon finalist has what can only be described as another very winnable match here. 

Dusan Lajovic does not specialize in consistency, so do not be surprised if he follows up his first-round win over Daniel Altmaier with a poor effort. The Serbian has not won back-to-back matches on a clay surface September, while he doesn't exactly have the best record of going beyond the second round in Rio, doing so just twice despite playing in this event every year since 2014. 

Matteo Berrettini vs Dušan Lajović Form

Matteo Berrettini and Dušan Lajović Latest Matches

Matteo Berrettini Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

Feb 11, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Vit Kopriva
2 :  0
Matteo Berrettini

Feb 10, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Federico Coria
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

Nov 23, 2025 - Davis Cup

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Nov 21, 2025 - Davis Cup

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Raphael Collignon

Nov 19, 2025 - Davis Cup

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Jurij Rodionov
Dušan Lajović Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 16, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Dušan Lajović
2 :  0
Daniel Altmaier

Feb 15, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Thiago Monteiro
2 :  1
Dušan Lajović

Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Hugo Dellien
1 :  2
Dušan Lajović

Feb 6, 2026 - Davis Cup

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
2 :  0
Dušan Lajović

Jan 14, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Dušan Lajović
1 :  2
Francesco Maestrelli

Jan 13, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Dušan Lajović
2 :  0
Murphy Cassone
Matteo Berrettini vs Dušan Lajović Picks

Matteo Berrettini - Dušan Lajović Key Points

  1. Matteo Berrettino comes into this match having won in straight sets during the first round.
  2. Matteo Berrettini has won two of his last three matches in straight sets.
  3. Matteo Berrettini has won each of his two recent clay-court matches against non-top-100 players in straight sets.
  4. Matteo Berrettini has won three of his last four clay-court matches against lower-ranked players in straight sets.

Our Matteo Berrettini vs Dušan Lajović Prediction

Matteo Berrettini looked like a man on a mission last time out, and this is very much his sort of tournament. If the Italian can be at anywhere near his best for much of the week, he's going to go very deep, it's as simple as that. After showing that he's in good form by beating Barrios Vera in straight sets, he looks a little generously priced to see off a lower-ranked competitor without dropping a set. 

Dusan Lajovic typically struggled against much higher-ranked players, and I'm really not going to be fooled by his win over Altmaier, who isn't as strong as Berrettini. 

Our Matteo Berrettini vs Dusan Lajovic Pick: Matteo Berrettini to Win 2-0. 

Prediction:

 

Matteo Berrettini to Win 2-0

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.