Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction & Picks - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev ATP 5
10/25/26 06:00
Nikoloz Basilashvili Georgia
Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP 128

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev to Win 2-0

−149
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

At the ATP event in Almaty, it's time for the final, which will be contested by Daniil Medvedev, who is the current world number five and the man who won the trophy last year, and Nikoloz Basilashvili, who has never won this tournament and who is the current world number 128. On paper, this really is an open-and-shut case. 

The early lines ahead of this match show that Daniil Medvedev is a massive favorite, and rightly so. Could he be the subject of even stronger support, though? For our money, the answer is justifiably so, leaving us to conclude that 'Daniil Medvedev to Win 2-0' is a solid option at a price of -149. The Russian has been in fine form in Almaty, while his recent form against much lower-ranked players in general is impossible to criticize. 

Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Form

Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili Latest Matches

Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 23, 2026 - Almaty Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Terence Atmane

Oct 22, 2026 - Almaty Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Sho Shimabukuro

Oct 17, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Oct 16, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Dalibor Svrcina
Nikoloz Basilashvili Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Oct 24, 2026 - Almaty Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Oct 23, 2026 - Almaty Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Oct 21, 2026 - Almaty Open

Facundo Diaz Acosta
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

Oct 19, 2026 - Almaty Open

Marin Cilic
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

Oct 18, 2026 - Almaty Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

Oct 17, 2026 - Almaty Open

Taro Daniel
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Picks

Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev had an easy semi-final so should have lots left in the tank.
  2. Unlike his opponent, Nikoloz Basilashvili endured a three-set semi-final.
  3. Daniil Medvedev has not dropped a set on his way to reaching this final.
  4. Daniil Medvedev has won each of his last five matches against non-top-15 players in straight sets.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction

Let's be completely honest, it would be a massive disappointment if Daniil Medvedev fails to get the job done here. The Russian knows all about winning this event, doing so last year, and he's in more than good enough form to retain his crown. 

Can the world number five defend his title by winning in straight sets? His performances at the event so far would absolutely suggest so, as would his recent record (five wins from five against non-top-15 players) against much lower-ranked players. 

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Pick: Daniil Medvedev to Win 2-0.

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev to Win 2-0

−149
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.