Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA Finals
WTA - WTA Finals
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
On Tuesday, there's more action at the WTA Finals, where Marta Kostyuk, the current world number ten, will take on Jessica Pegula, the current world number five. This will be the third meeting between the two players in 2026. This is an interesting match, not least of all because both players come into it off the back of losing first time out at these finals. Both players will be looking to improve, and on that basis, there should probably be a little less between them in the betting.
Marta Kostyuk, at the time of writing, is considered as quite a sizable underdog, but she deserves more respect. After all, she has won each of her last two matches against Jessica Pegula, losing only one of the last five renewals of this match in straight sets, leaving 'Marta Kostyuk +1.5 Set Handicap' to look a little generously priced at +175.
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Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Form
Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 8, 2026 - WTA Finals
Oct 13, 2026 - WTA Wuhan Open
Sep 17, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
Sep 6, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 4, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - WTA US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 8, 2026 - WTA Finals
Oct 14, 2026 - WTA Wuhan Open
Sep 10, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 8, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 6, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 4, 2026 - WTA US Open
Marta Kostyuk against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
Apr 26, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Jan 10, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Oct 1, 2025 - WTA China Open
Mar 24, 2025 - WTA Miami
Mar 2, 2024 - WTA San Diego Open
Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- When the pair last met, Marta Kostyuk came out on top.
- Marta Kostyuk has won each of her two 2026 matches against Jessica Pegula.
- Marta Kostyuk has either won or won one set in four of her last five matches against Jessica Pegula.
- Overall, Marta Kostyuk has avoided a straight-set defeat in 71% of her previous matches against Jessica Pegula.
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Our Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Given that she's lost only one of her last five matches against Jessica Pegula in straight sets, Marta Kostyuk looks generously priced to, at the very least, avoid a straight set defeat. She knows how to upset Pegula, while it's not as if she's facing an in-form player, with the American winning none of her last four matches in straight sets.
Overall, in seven previous matches against Pegula, the Ukrainian has 71% strike rate of winning at least one set. Therefore, odds of -175 (= 63.6% implied probability) look too good to turn down.
Our Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Pick: Marta Kostyuk +1.5 Set Handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
