Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA China Open

WTA - WTA China Open

WTA 28 Ukraine
Marta Kostyuk
10/1/25 08:10
WTA 7 USA
Jessica Pegula

Prediction:

 

Jessica Pegula will win 2-0

+130
$300 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

After passing the acid test in the third round, Jessica Pegula braces for another tough fourth-round battle with Marta Kostyuk of Ukraine on Wednesday at the 2025 China Open.

Dangling 3-1 in four meetings with Marta Kostyuk, Pegula is listed at -172 or a potential profit of $100 for every $172 bet if she goes on to win this latest encounter with the Ukrainian.

Current Form:

Pegula demonstrated incredible mental strength to beat Emma Raducanu in a come-from-behind victory 3-6 7-6(9) 6-0. Ranked No.7 in the world, Pegula recovered from a lousy first-set performance by playing with more aggression and precision in the second and deciding set. The American finished with 41 points behind the first ball and five breakpoint conversions, which made the comeback possible.

Kostyuk reached her 7th round-of-16 appearance this year with a 6-4 6-2 win over Aliaksandra Sasnovich on Monday. Kostyuk overpowered the Belarusian on the serves, winning 30 points off the first serves to hold all her serves. Kostyuk also converted all three breakpoint chances against Sasnovich to seal the deal.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Form

Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches

Marta Kostyuk Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 29, 2025 - WTA China Open

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Sep 27, 2025 - WTA China Open

Ella Seidel
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Sep 19, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Elisabetta Cocciaretto
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Sep 17, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Sep 1, 2025 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open

Diane Parry
1 :  2
Marta Kostyuk
Jessica Pegula Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 29, 2025 - WTA China Open

Emma Raducanu
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Sep 27, 2025 - WTA China Open

Ajla Tomljanovic
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Sep 21, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Sep 20, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Katie Boulter

Sep 18, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Sep 4, 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

Marta Kostyuk against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)

Marta Kostyuk

50 %

Jessica Pegula

50 %

Mar 24, 2025 - WTA Miami

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Mar 2, 2024 - WTA San Diego Open

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk
Compare Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula with our comparison tool.

Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula Key Points

  1. Marta Kostyuk defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 China Open.
  2. Marta Kostyuk is 19-11 on the hard court in 2025.
  3. Jessica Pegula defeated Emma Raducanu 3-6 7-6(9) 6-0 in the third round of the 2025 China Open.
  4. Jessica Pegula is 3-1 vs. Marta Kostyuk in their head-to-head series.

Our Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

With a 3-1 record over Kostyuk, the battle-tested Pegula looks like a lock to win this match and secure another quarterfinals appearance this year.

Pegula blasted Kostyuk 6-2, 6-0 in the fourth round of the 2025 Miami Open this year, bolstering my confidence that she will blow by the Ukrainian in this latest encounter.

When she’s healthy and in top form, Kostyuk is a threat to anyone on the WTA Tour. She is 7-1 in her last 8 matches and 19-11 on the hard court in 2025. On the flip side, Kostyuk is only 1-6 against a WTA top-10 opponent this year and 9-26 in her career. The Ukrainian is also 2-4 in the fourth round in 2025.

After surviving a feisty challenge from Raducanu, Pegula understands that she cannot afford to lose the first set against a heavier opposition in Kostyuk. Expect the American to play aggressively from the get-go and sustain that form the rest of the way for a two-set victory.

Our betting prediction for Marta Kostyuk vs. Jessica Pegula: Jessica Pegula 2-0

Prediction:

 

Jessica Pegula will win 2-0

+130
$300 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Picks