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Marseille vs Monaco Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
12/14/25 14:45
Monaco

Prediction:

 

Folarin Balogun to Score

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Ligue 1 Picks

Sunday's Ligue 1 menu finishes with a dessert of Marseille vs Monaco, which is due to take place the famously noisy Stade Vélodrome. Both teams will go into this game having picked up pleasing UEFA Champions League wins during the week, with the Marseille boys battling hard to beat Union SG by three goals to two on the road, while the men from Monaco scrapped hard to grind it out against Galatasaray, winning by a goal to zero, thanks to yet another goal from the too-hot-to-handle Folarin Balogun. 

Domestically, though, both teams are looking to bounce back. Last weekend, the hosts lost to Lille, while the visitors came unstuck against Brest. In general, Roberto de Zerbi's men are tough to beat at home, where they've only lost once in all competitions this season. The visitors aren't so hard to beat on the road, losing two of their last three, none of which they've won. 

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Marseille vs Monaco Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Marseille
Marseille
29 15 9 2 4 20
7
Monaco
Monaco
23 15 7 2 6 0

Marseille and Monaco Latest Matches

Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W W W D L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  3
Marseille

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest
W D L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Angers

Oct 18, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
6 :  2
Le Havre
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  3
Marseille

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco Latest matches
L L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
1 :  0
Galatasaray

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  0
Monaco

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC
2 :  2
Monaco

Nov 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
4 :  1
Monaco

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  4
Lens
D W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
1 :  0
Galatasaray

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  4
Lens

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
0 :  1
Paris FC

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
Toulouse

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
0 :  0
Tottenham
D W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  0
Monaco

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC
2 :  2
Monaco

Nov 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
4 :  1
Monaco

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
0 :  1
Monaco

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  5
Monaco

Oct 18, 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  1
Monaco

Marseille against Monaco : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

33 %

Draw

33 %

Monaco

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  0
Marseille

Dec 1, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  1
Monaco

Jan 27, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Monaco

Sep 30, 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  2
Marseille

Jan 28, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Monaco

Nov 13, 2022 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  3
Marseille

Monaco v Marseille last Lineups

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Rulli
22
T. Weah
62
A. Murillo
21
N. Aguerd
33
Emerson
18
A. Vermeeren
23
P. Hojbjerg
17
M. O'Riley
10
M. Greenwood
97
P. Aubameyang
14
I. Paixao
9
F. Balogun
10
A. Golovin
18
T. Minamino
11
M. Akliouche
15
L. Camara
6
D. Zakaria
12
C. Henrique
22
M. Salisu
5
T. Kehrer
2
Vanderson
1
L. Hradecky

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Monaco

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

F. Medina

A. Murillo

Midfielder

H. Traore

Forward

A. Gouiri

Monaco
Monaco
Defender

C. Mawissa

E. Dier

T. Kehrer

Midfielder

D. Zakaria

Forward

A. Fati

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Monaco
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA F. Balogun (7 Goals)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (9 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Akliouche (4 Assists)

Marseille and Monaco Stats in Ligue 1

Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
60%
Victories
47%
13%
Draw
13%
27%
Defeats
40%
3.33
Total goals per match
3.47
2.33
Goals scored per match
1.73
1
Goals conceded per match
1.73
67%
Over 2.5
60%
33%
Under 2.5
40%
47%
BTTS
67%
33%
No goals conceded
13%

Marseille - Monaco Key Points

  1. Folarin Balogun has now scored in six of his last seven starts for club and country.
  2. Folarin Balogun has also scored in each of his last four away games for Monaco.
  3. Of all Monaco regulars, Folarin Balogun is the best player in terms of shots per 90 minutes in Ligue 1.
  4. In his last four away games for Monaco, Folarin Balogun has taken 12 shots, registering six on target.
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Our Marseille vs Monaco Prediction

Much as I did ahead of Monaco's midweek UEFA Champions League fixture, I'm siding with Folarin Balogun to find the net. The USA international scored in that game against Galatasaray, continuing his excellent form, and given that he'll arrive at Stade Vélodrome in hot form, he's worth betting on to notch again. 

Balogun, who should enjoy playing on the break in this game, has now scored in six of his last nine for club and country, scoring in six of his last seven starts. He's getting into great positions and shooting lots, so do not be surprised if he does yet more damage against a home team that is without a clean sheet in five. 

Our Marseille vs Monaco Pick: Folarin Balogun to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Folarin Balogun to Score

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Monaco Picks
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