AC Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
12/14/25 06:30
Sassuolo

Prediction:

 

Andrea Pinamonti 1+ Shots on Target

-120
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Serie A Picks

Kicking off a busy Sunday of Serie A action will be a game at the iconic San Siro, where AC Milan and Sassuolo lock horns. Leading the way in the title race, perhaps thanks to a lack of continental soccer, the hosts will be hoping to keep themselves at the top of the tree, but to do that, they'll likely need to pick up all three points, which may not be quite as easy as the early odds suggest. 

Sure, the hosts are strong, and they did win last time out, but they didn't exactly make light work of beating a lowly Torino team, which is not exactly ideal preparation for a game against a Sassuolo team that built confidence by defeating Fiorentina 3-1. After that win against La Viola, the visitors, who are a decent counter-attacking team, should fancy themselves to make some headway in Milan. 

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AC Milan vs Sassuolo Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18
11 Sassuolo
49 38 14 7 17 -4

AC Milan and Sassuolo Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce
D D D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 8, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Sassuolo Latest matches
W L W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

Nov 28, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Sassuolo

Nov 24, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

Nov 3, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

Oct 30, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo
W W L L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

Nov 24, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Nov 3, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

Oct 26, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Roma

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Udinese

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Lazio
L W D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 28, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Sassuolo

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

Oct 30, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo

Oct 18, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo

Oct 3, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Sassuolo

Sep 24, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Como 1907
3 :  0
Sassuolo

AC Milan against Sassuolo : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

50 %

Draw

33 %

Sassuolo

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

Apr 14, 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 30, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 29, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  5
Sassuolo

Aug 30, 2022 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  0
AC Milan

May 22, 2022 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  3
AC Milan

AC Milan against Sassuolo Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
56
A. Saelemaekers
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
14
L. Modric
12
A. Rabiot
33
D. Bartesaghi
11
C. Pulisic
18
C. Nkunku
20
A. Fadera
99
A. Pinamonti
7
C. Volpato
90
I. Kone
18
N. Matic
42
K. Thorstvedt
5
F. Cande
80
T. Muharemovic
21
J. Idzes
6
S. Walukiewicz
49
A. Muric

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Sassuolo

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Pittarella

P. Terracciano

Defender

K. De Winter

M. Gabbia 60'

P. Estupinan

D. Bartesaghi 90'

D. Odogu

Z. Athekame

A. Saelemaekers 90'

Midfielder

S. Ricci

C. Pulisic 73'

A. Jashari

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Goalkeeper

G. Satalino

G. Zacchi

Defender

W. Coulibaly

J. Doig

F. Cande 59'

C. Odenthal

Midfielder

A. Vranckx

E. Iannoni

L. Lipani

Forward

N. Pierini

L. Moro

A. Pinamonti 86'

A. Lauriente

A. Fadera 59'

W. Cheddira

C. Volpato 87'

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Defender

F. Romagna

E. Pieragnolo

Midfielder

D. Boloca

Forward

D. Berardi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Sassuolo
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (9 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists) , 
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists) , 
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Lauriente (9 Assists)

AC Milan - Sassuolo Key Points

  1. No Sassuolo player has taken more shots than Andrea Pinamonti in Serie this season.
  2. Andrea Pinamonti has registered a shot on target in five of his last six Serie A appearances.
  3. In Serie A this term, Andrea Pinamonti averages 1.28 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  4. Andrea Pinamonti has registered a shot on target in six out of seven away games this season.
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Our AC Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction

Andrea Pinamonti really likes playing in games of this nature, while the visitors love to play on the break, as they did to devastating effect away against Atalanta recently, when Pinamonti notched. The Italian forward takes up great positions, while he's shooting lots, taking more shots than any other Sassuolo player this season. 

During the current campaign, Pinamonti has taken 35 Serie A shots, averaging 1.28 shots on target per 90 minutes. Following at least one shot on target in five of his last six, the 26-year-old is not easy to ignore when odds of -120 are available. Quite simply, if he starts following a precautionary substitution last weekend, such odds should be taken. 

Our AC Milan vs Sassuolo Pick: Andrea Pinamonti 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Andrea Pinamonti 1+ Shots on Target

-120
$200 offered for betting!

AC Milan vs Sassuolo - Other Interesting Picks

Andrea Pinamonti to Score

Odds +475
As a secondary pick, I'm also going to bet on Andrea Pinamonti to find the net. As touched on above, the visitors do offer a threat on the break, and Pinamonti loves to score goals in big games, while the forward, who simply gets himself into so many promising positions, is going up against a Milan team that doesn't keep too many clean sheets. All in all, for a player Pinamonti, odds of +475 look too big.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Sassuolo Picks