Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
1/24/26 15:05
Lens

Prediction:

 

X or Lens

-135
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 by Tyler Doty | in Ligue 1 Picks

The 19th day of Ligue 1 clashes takes place this Saturday, pitting Olympique de Marseille against RC Lens at the Stade Vélodrome. Although it has long been close to the top of the table, the Marseille club now has to look over its shoulder. Currently in third place, it is only three points ahead of Lille (fifth). It could well be fighting to the end to qualify for the next edition of the Champions League. Ahead of this clash, Roberto De Zerbi's team is not brimming with confidence. It has just suffered a heavy defeat against Liverpool in the Champions League (0-3).

RC Lens has had a perfect season so far. It is taking advantage of the fact that it is not competing in any European competitions to play a leading role in this edition of Ligue 1. Before the start of this new matchday, the Sang et Or are at the top of the table. They are one point ahead of PSG (2nd) and, more importantly, eight points ahead of their next opponent. After a string of successes in recent weeks, Pierre Sage's men are keen to continue their momentum for this trip to La Canebière.

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Marseille vs Lens Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Lens
70 34 22 4 8 +31
5 Marseille
59 34 18 5 11 +18

Marseille and Lens Latest Matches

Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W L D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

Jan 13, 2026 - French Cup

FC Bayeux
0 :  9
Marseille

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Football Bourg-En-Bresse Peronnas 01
0 :  6
Marseille
W W D W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Monaco

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
4.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

Jan 13, 2026 - French Cup

FC Bayeux
0 :  9
Marseille

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Football Bourg-En-Bresse Peronnas 01
0 :  6
Marseille

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  3
Marseille

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille
Lens
Lens Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

Jan 11, 2026 - French Cup

Sochaux
0 :  3
Lens

Jan 2, 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  3
Lens

Dec 19, 2025 - French Cup

Lens
3 :  1
Entente Feignies Aulnoye

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  0
Nice

Dec 6, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Lens
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

Dec 19, 2025 - French Cup

Lens
3 :  1
Entente Feignies Aulnoye

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  0
Nice

Nov 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Strasbourg

Nov 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  0
Lorient

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - French Cup

Sochaux
0 :  3
Lens

Jan 2, 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  3
Lens

Dec 6, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Lens

Nov 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  2
Lens

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  4
Lens

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  0
Lens

Marseille against Lens : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

33 %

Draw

0 %

Lens

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  1
Lens

Nov 23, 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  3
Marseille

Apr 28, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  1
Lens

Nov 12, 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Marseille

May 6, 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

Marseille - Lens: Form Analysis

Marseille is definitely capable of both the worst and the best. In Ligue 1, the club kicked off 2026 with a surprising defeat to FC Nantes at the Stade Vélodrome (0-2). It bounced back well, leaving SCO Angers no chance (2-5). It is currently in third place in the standings after its first 18 games. Although it came close to winning the Champions Trophy against PSG, before losing on penalties, it also qualified for the round of 16 of the Coupe de France.

However, Roberto De Zerbi's team has just suffered a major disappointment in the Champions League. They lost heavily to Liverpool (0-3) and will be playing for a place in the playoffs on the last day of the league phase.

RC Lens has won its last eight Ligue 1 matches.

For RC Lens, it's a different story. They have been unstoppable for several weeks now. Les Sang et Or had no trouble reaching the round of 16 in the Coupe de France. They are now among the favorites to win the title, since PSG was eliminated early on. But it is in Ligue 1 that the club from the Pas-de-Calais region is really shining. They have won eight consecutive league games and intend to fight to the end for the title with the Parisians.

Before the start of the day's action, Pierre Sage's men are at the top of the table, just one point ahead of PSG. They are therefore full of confidence as they travel to Marseille. They will do everything they can to continue their fine run against one of the league's big guns.

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Marseille vs Lens Picks

Marseille against Lens Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
G. Rulli
5
L. Balerdi
21
N. Aguerd
32
F. Medina
22
T. Weah
23
P. Hojbjerg
27
Q. Timber
14
I. Paixao
11
E. Nwaneri
20
H. Traore
9
A. Gouiri
11
O. Edouard
22
W. Said
10
F. Thauvin
14
M. Udol
8
M. Sangare
28
A. Thomasson
2
R. Aguilar
23
S. Abdulhamid
20
M. Sarr
25
I. Ganiou
40
R. Risser

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Lens

Substitutes

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

J. De Lange

Defender

C. Egan Riley

A. Murillo

B. Pavard

N. Aguerd 74'

Midfielder

M. O'Riley

Q. Timber 74'

A. Vermeeren

D. Bakola

H. Traore 74'

Forward

P. Aubameyang

A. Gouiri 80'

M. Greenwood

E. Nwaneri 58'

Lens
Lens
Goalkeeper

M. Gorgelin

Defender

N. Celik

K. Antonio

Midfielder

F. Sylla

A. Bulatovic

A. Thomasson 72'

A. Bermont

R. Aguilar 78'

Forward

A. Sima

O. Edouard 59'

R. Fofana

W. Said 72'

F. Sotoca

F. Thauvin 78'

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

Emerson

Midfielder

A. Gomes

Lens
Lens
Defender

J. Gradit

J. Chavez

S. Baidoo

E. Garnier

Midfielder

A. Haidara

Marseille & Lens Squad Analysis

Marseille received some very bad news with Emerson Palmieri's injury earlier this week. He missed the Liverpool game and will also be out for this Ligue 1 clash. Nayef Aguerd also remains uncertain, as he has only just returned from the Africa Cup of Nations. While Medhi Benatia has confirmed the arrivals of Quinten Timber and Ethan Nwaneri in this winter transfer window, Roberto De Zerbi has not ruled out playing them as early as Saturday evening.

Far from shining in Marseille's defense against the Reds, Benjamin Pavard and Leonardo Balerdi will have to show a better side. On the bright side, the Marseille coach can count on a confident attacking line-up. Mason Greenwood, Ligue 1's top scorer with 12 goals, will be eagerly awaited, as will Hamed Junior Traoré and Amine Gouiri, who have quickly regained their form since returning from injury.

Florian Thauvin will make his return to the Stade Vélodrome on Saturday evening.

As for RC Lens, Régis Gurtner, Jonathan Gradit, Jhoanner Chávez, and Amadou Haidara are out. Samson Baidoo is very doubtful. Pierre Sage has other weapons at his disposal to make a big impact at La Canebière. He has the best defense in Ligue 1, with only 13 goals conceded. Robin Risser is imperious in goal, as are Malang Sarr, Ismaëlo Ganiou, and Matthieu Udol in front of him. Mamadou Sangaré and Adrien Thomasson are invaluable in midfield.

A little further up the pitch, Florian Thauvin will be closely watched on his return to the Stade Vélodrome. Odsonne Édouard, who missed the last game, will be back on Saturday evening. He has already scored seven goals in this season's Ligue 1.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Lens
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France W. Said (12 Goals) Haiti O. Edouard (12 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Greenwood (8 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Thomasson (10 Assists)

Marseille - Lens Key Points

  1. RC Lens has won eight consecutive Ligue 1 matches.
  2. RC Lens has lost only two of its nine away games in Ligue 1.
  3. In the first leg, RC Lens beat OM (2-1).
  4. Marseille played in the Champions League midweek and lost to Liverpool (0-3).
  5. Marseille has won only twice in its last five home games in Ligue 1.
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Our Marseille vs Lens Prediction

RC Lens arrives at this Ligue 1 clash brimming with confidence. They haven't dropped a single point in their last eight games. Leading the table going into this matchday, the Artois club is determined to continue its winning streak on Saturday evening. Especially since Marseille has only won twice in its last five home games in the league. They are coming off a defeat against FC Nantes (0-2). Having just played and lost in the Champions League against Liverpool (0-3) in midweek, they may struggle to bounce back.

Our prediction for Marseille vs. RC Lens: Double Chance: Draw/Lens.

Prediction:

 

X or Lens

-135
$250 offered for betting!

Marseille vs Lens - Other Interesting Picks

Over 2.5 Goals

Odds -150
The latest clashes between Marseille and RC Lens have often been prolific. Over 2.5 goals were scored in on three of the last four meetings between these two Ligue 1 heavyweights. This streak could continue on Saturday.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.