Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils Prediction & Picks - ATP National Bank Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP National Bank Open Picks
An intriguing pick to cover +2.5 games (+140), Mariano Navone looks to put pressure on Arthur Fils and his banged-up hips in the third round of the 2026 Montreal Masters.
Current Form:
Arthur Fils overcame a spirited challenge from Zachary Svajda 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 to book his spot in the third round of the 2026 Montreal Masters. Fils fired 12 aces and won 80 percent of his first serves while breaking Svajda five times – including two clutch break points in the third set. Fils, who has been struggling with a hip injury this season, is 12-4 on the hard court.
Mariano Navone is through to the third round with his second three-set win of the tournament. After edging Matteo Berrettini 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 in the first round, Navone climbed back from a set down to beat Valentin Vacherot 1-6, 6-3, 6-3.
The Matchup: Navone defeated a then-teenager Fils 6-4, 6-1 almost four years ago in a clay-court Challenger tournament in Prague. Of course, Fils is a much better player today, but a lingering hip injury has prevented him from unleashing his full capabilities on the court.
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Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils Form
Mariano Navone and Arthur Fils Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 3, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 23, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 22, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 20, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 15, 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 2, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
May 1, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Mariano Navone - Arthur Fils Key Points
- Arthur Fils is 12-4 on the hard court in 2026.
- Arthur Fils is 20-8 vs. the top-100 players in 2026.
- Mariano Navone is 8-5 on the hard court in 2026.
- Mariano Navone is 9-10 vs. the top-50 players in 2026.
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Our Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils Prediction
The Difference Maker: Aside from beating Arthur Fils in their first meeting, Navone owns a solid 9-10 record against the top-50 players. Navone is a clay-court grinder, but he has shown in the past two matches that he has game on hard surfaces too by beating hard-hitters like Vacherot and Berrettini.
Perhaps the great differentiator in this match is the status of Arthur Fils’ hip. After playing three sets against Svajda, Fils will return to the court roughly 24 hours later to take on an inspired Navone.
What to Expect: Fils will advance to the next round but not before surviving another three-set thriller against Navone, who seems like a tantalizing pick to cover +2.5 games valued at +140
Fearless Forecast: Fils wins 1-6, 6-3, 7-6
Our betting prediction for Arthur Fils vs. Mariano Navone: Mariano Navone +2.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
