Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
12/26/25 15:00
Newcastle

Prediction:

 

Harvey Barnes to Score

+300
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

The post-Christmas action in the English Premier League begins on December 26th, when Man United and Newcastle will clash at Old Trafford, where the hosts will be hoping to get back to winning ways having lost their final pre-Christmas game to Aston Villa, going down by two goals to one. That defeat followed what was a crazy 4-4 tie against Bournemouth, during which Ruben Amorim's men showed plenty of offensive quality, though they also looked awful at the back, which is probably why they've won just one of their last four. 

Friday's visitors also failed to go into Christmas off the back of a win, despite leading Chelsea by two goals to zero at home last weekend. Having seen their two-goal lead diminish against the Blues, Eddie Howe's men will be hoping to do a little better. The Magpies go in search of what would be a first away-day success in three games (in all competitions), while they've now won just one of their last seven road fixtures. Such form doesn't exactlly point towards a team that will get the job done without a fuss at Old Trafford. 

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Manchester United vs Newcastle Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Manchester United
Manchester United
26 17 7 5 5 3
11
Newcastle
Newcastle
23 17 6 5 6 1

Manchester United and Newcastle Latest Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
L W D W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

Dec 8, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Manchester United

Dec 4, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
West Ham

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United

Nov 24, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Everton
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

Dec 4, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
West Ham

Nov 24, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Everton

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Brighton

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Sunderland

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea
W D D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 8, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Manchester United

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester United

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  2
Manchester United

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United
Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
D W D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

Dec 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  1
Fulham

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

Dec 2, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Tottenham
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

Dec 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  1
Fulham

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

Dec 2, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Tottenham

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester City

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
L L L W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Newcastle

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  1
Newcastle

Manchester United against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

17 %

Draw

0 %

Newcastle

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 30, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
Newcastle

May 15, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 2, 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Manchester United

Nov 1, 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
0 :  3
Newcastle

Apr 2, 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Manchester United

Newcastle v Manchester United last Lineups

Manchester United

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

31
S. Lammens
15
L. Yoro
26
A. Heaven
23
L. Shaw
2
D. Dalot
25
M. Ugarte
8
B. Fernandes
13
P. Dorgu
7
M. Mount
10
M. Cunha
30
B. Sesko
10
A. Gordon
27
N. Woltemade
23
J. Murphy
41
J. Ramsey
8
S. Tonali
39
B. Guimaraes
3
L. Hall
5
F. Schar
12
M. Thiaw
67
L. Miley
32
A. Ramsdale

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

H. Maguire

M. De Ligt

N. Mazraoui

Midfielder

B. Fernandes

K. Mainoo

A. Diallo

Forward

B. Mbeumo

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

N. Pope

Defender

K. Trippier

S. Botman

E. Krafth

D. Burn

J. Lascelles

T. Livramento

Forward

W. Osula

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany N. Woltemade (9 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (7 Assists)
Best assists
Italy S. Tonali (4 Assists)
Brazil B. Guimaraes (4 Assists)

Manchester United and Newcastle Stats in Premier League

Manchester United
Manchester United
Newcastle
Newcastle
41%
Victories
35%
29%
Draw
29%
29%
Defeats
35%
3.47
Total goals per match
2.65
1.82
Goals scored per match
1.35
1.65
Goals conceded per match
1.29
71%
Over 2.5
65%
29%
Under 2.5
35%
76%
BTTS
65%
6%
No goals conceded
29%

Manchester United - Newcastle Key Points

  1. In the EPL this season, Harvey Barnes averages 0.36 goals per 90 minutes.
  2. Also in the EPL this season, Harvey Barnes averages 0.42 expected goals per 90 minutes.
  3. Harvey Barnes has scored two goals in his last two EPL starts at home.
  4. Harvey Barnes recently scored twice at home to Man City, which bodes well.
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Our Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction

Much like the Man United defense is all over the place right now, I am all over Newcastle's Harvey Barnes to find the net at odds of +300. The Newcastle forward/winger will love playing on the break against a United team that is very open and does little to guard against the break. 

Barnes should be fresh and raring to go having been rested for most of Newcastle's recent game against Chelsea, while he continued to look dangerous when coming on as a substitute, very nearly winning the game for his side late on. Given his fondness for playing on the break in games of this nature and his rather imperssive numbers, he's easy to bet on at odds of +300, which could easily be shorter. 

Our Man United vs Newcastle Pick: Harvey Barnes to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Harvey Barnes to Score

+300
$200 offered for betting!

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