England - Premier League
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by Erik Gibbs in Premier League Picks
Old Trafford opens the new campaign with a heavyweight clash as Manchester United host Arsenal on Sunday. United begin their first full season under Rúben Amorim determined to bounce back into the top four after a disappointing finish last year. Preseason was encouraging and unbeaten, with sharper pressing and cleaner build-up patterns. Summer additions were targeted: striker Benjamin Šeško offers vertical threat, Bryan Mbeumo adds direct wing running and crossing, and Matheus Cunha increases depth and versatility across the front line.
Fitness is a subplot. Lisandro Martínez could be short of full sharpness, and goalkeeper André Onana is working toward readiness. Even so, United's spine—Onana, Casemiro, and Bruno Fernandes—should provide structure.
The tactical chess match should hinge on midfield tempo. If Arsenal could rapidly transition via Zubimendi and swap a full-back to get into overload positions, they could pull United's configuration and get to Gyökeres in a flash.
Fernandes continues to be the creative linchpin, floating across lines, controlling set pieces, and overlapping with full-backs. Amorim's template features rapid transition, early diagonals, and vehement counter-pressing after giveaways to jam opponents in and generate short-field opportunities.
If United's counter-press bites and Fernandes springs runners like Mbeumo and Šeško into space, Arsenal's high line can be tested. Wide duels feel decisive: Saka versus United's left-back, and Rashford or Garnacho attacking gaps behind Arsenal's own full-backs. Set pieces are another lever—both sides possess aerial threats and rehearsed routines capable of tipping tight openers.
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Manchester United vs Arsenal Form
Manchester United and Arsenal Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 25, 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 28, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 21, 2025 - Europa League
May 16, 2025 - Premier League
May 4, 2025 - Premier League
May 1, 2025 - Europa League

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 9, 2025 - Emirates Cup
Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 27, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 23, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 25, 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 9, 2025 - Emirates Cup
Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 27, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 23, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 18, 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 25, 2025 - Premier League
May 11, 2025 - Premier League
May 7, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League
Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League
Manchester United against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League
Jan 12, 2025 - FA Cup
Dec 4, 2024 - Premier League
Jul 27, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
May 12, 2024 - Premier League
Sep 3, 2023 - Premier League
Missing players

A. Onana
DefenderL. Martinez

G. Jesus
Manchester United - Arsenal Key Points
- Man U is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- Arsenal is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 1-4 in Man U's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Arsenal's last 5 games
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Our Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal come in with consistency and drive after three consecutive second-placed finishes. Arteta's team has filled essential jobs: Viktor Gyökeres provides a fulcrum that can play width and hold up center-backs; Martín Zubimendi provides penetration in the six, shutting off counter-press and driving play upfield, and Kepa Arrizabalaga provides experienced depth at goal.
Without Gabriel Jesus, there are still elite options in Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard—Saka alone on the right wide, Ødegaard making combinations of midfield runners and full-back overlaps.
Intangibles count on day one; rhythm has not quite developed, defensive timings are late, and personal brilliance tends to shatter balance. Expect phases of Arsenal control punctuated by United surges, especially in transition after turnovers. The home crowd should amplify those waves, and the first goal will carry huge psychological weight for either project. Managing game states—slowing tempo after scoring, or maintaining composure if conceding—will reveal how far each side has matured.
A measured, intense opener with limited clear chances. A draw feels likeliest given Arsenal's cohesion and United's evolving system, but a single sequence—a turnover in midfield, a rehearsed corner, or a spark from Saka or Fernandes—could swing a narrow 1–0 either way. Our prediction for Manchester United vs. Arsenal: Over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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