Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Picks - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks
The Carabao Cup semi-finals will be decided this week. The second leg between Manchester City and Newcastle United will be played on Wednesday at the Etihad Stadium. The Sky Blues have just suffered a major setback in the race for the Premier League title. After being held to a 2-2 draw by Tottenham despite a two-goal lead, they are now six points behind leaders Arsenal. Pep Guardiola's team will be looking to bounce back in the English League Cup. They are well on their way to reaching the final after winning the first leg away from home (0-2).
The defending Carabao Cup champions are closer than ever to being knocked out before the final. Newcastle United will need to win by at least two goals to knock Manchester City out of the competition. Currently sitting in 10th place in the Premier League, the Magpies are not necessarily in great form. They have lost their last two league games. It will be extremely difficult for them to turn things around in this away game at the Etihad Stadium.
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Manchester City vs Newcastle Form
Manchester City and Newcastle Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup
Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League
Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup
Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League
Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League
Manchester City against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League
Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League
Sep 28, 2024 - Premier League
Mar 16, 2024 - FA Cup
Jan 13, 2024 - Premier League
Manchester City - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Manchester City has many goals for the second half of the season. It hopes to fight to the end for the Premier League title, but has just suffered a setback. Despite a 2-goal lead against Tottenham last weekend, it had to settle for a draw (2-2). Although still in second place in the standings, they are now six points behind Arsenal (first).
The Manchester club has qualified for the Champions League round of 16 and the FA Cup round of 32. Pep Guardiola's team is also close to reaching the Carabao Cup final. In the first leg of the semi-finals, they managed to win away at Newcastle United (0-2). The Cityzens want to finish the job in front of their fans.
Manchester City did the job in the first leg, winning away at Newcastle United (0-2).
Like their next opponent, Newcastle United have several competitions to play in the coming months. Qualified for the FA Cup round of 16, they will have to go through the Champions League play-offs with a doubleheader against Qarabag FK. In the Premier League, the Magpies have fallen behind in the race for Europe.
They are only in 10th place in the standings, seven points behind the top five. They have taken only one point from their last three games. Eddie Howe's men are coming off defeats against Aston Villa (0-2) and Liverpool (4-1). They are likely to face more difficulties against another English heavyweight.
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Manchester City against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
G. Donnarumma
DefenderR. Lewis
M. Alleyne
R. Dias
MidfielderR. McAidoo
S. Nypan
R. Cherki
Rodri
E. Haaland
N. Pope
DefenderA. Murphy
L. Shahar
MidfielderJ. Murphy
Y. Wissa
S. Neave
H. Barnes
W. Osula
A. Elanga
Missing players
J. Stones
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderSavinho
F. Schar
E. Krafth
T. Livramento
ForwardJoelinton
Manchester City & Newcastle Squad Analysis
There are numerous absentees in the Manchester City squad. Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, John Stones, Mateo Kovačić, Jérémy Doku, and Savinho are all injured. Rayan Cherki, who was injured against Tottenham, is doubtful for this match. Pep Guardiola will certainly not take any risks. He has other assets at his disposal to secure victory.
His team was strengthened during the winter transfer window with the arrivals of Marc Guéhi and Antoine Semenyo. The latter has shone in his debut with the Skyblues, scoring five times in his first six games. After a long dry spell, Erling Haaland has regained his confidence, proving decisive in Manchester City's last two games.
Antoine Semenyo shines in his debut with Manchester City.
As for Newcastle United, Emil Krafth, Fabian Schär, Tino Livramento, and Joelinton are out. Bruno Guimaraes, who has missed the Magpies' last three games, is still uncertain. Eddie Howe will need an excellent defense to stand up to the Skyblues. Malick Thiaw will therefore be eagerly awaited in central defense.
Trailing by two goals, Newcastle United will also need to be prolific at the Etihad Stadium. With six goals in the Champions League, Anthony Gordon has struggled a little more in the Premier League, with only three goals to his name. He will be looking to increase his tally on Wednesday evening. He won't be the only one looking to make his mark, with Nick Woltemade and Yoane Wissa also in contention.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Newcastle
O. Marmoush
(3 Goals)
, 
R. Cherki
(3 Goals)
Joelinton
(2 Goals)
, 
W. Osula
(2 Goals)
R. Cherki
(2 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Tonali
(2 Assists)
Manchester City - Newcastle Key Points
- Manchester City has won three consecutive games at Etihad Stadium in all competitions.
- Manchester City won the Carabao Cup semi-final first leg away to Newcastle United (0-2).
- Manchester City has won all of its last 11 home games against Newcastle United.
- Newcastle United has lost its last two Premier League matches.
- Newcastle United has won only three of its 16 away games this season, all competitions combined.
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Our Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction
Manchester City may have done the hard work in these Carabao Cup semi-finals. They still took a 2-goal lead after the first leg away from home. The Skyblues will have no intention of taking their foot off the gas on Wednesday evening. Especially as Newcastle United will certainly take every risk to turn the tide. This could allow Pep Guardiola's men to take advantage of the spaces left by their opponents to secure their lead.
Our prediction for Man City vs Newcastle: Manchester City to win!
Manchester City vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Picks
Man City Over 1.5 Goals
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