Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
9/14/25 11:30
Manchester United

Prediction:

 

Bryan Mbeumo 1+ Shots on Target

-125
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

On Sunday, during the late morning for those viewing and betting in the US, the first Manchester Derby of the current English Premier League season will take place at Etihad Stadium, where Man City host Man United. Neither side has made an overly fluent start to the new campaign, making this fixture all the more intriguing. The footballing city of Manchester has been dominated by the men in sky blue during the last decade or so, though it is the Red Devils who have had the best of this fixture over the last couple of years, avoiding defeat in each of their last four games against their biggest rivals. Upsetting the odds, the men in red won when last visiting the home of Man City. Can they repeat that trick? Or will the hosts pick up their first win in five against United?

Manchester City vs Manchester United Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Manchester United
Manchester United
4 3 1 1 1 0
13
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 3 1 0 2 1

Manchester City and Manchester United Latest Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Palermo
0 :  3
Manchester City

Jun 30, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
3 :  4
Al Hilal

Jun 26, 2025 - Club World Cup

Juventus
2 :  5
Manchester City
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham

Jun 30, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
3 :  4
Al Hilal

Jun 22, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Al Ain FC

Jun 18, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
WAC Casablanca

May 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

May 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Palermo
0 :  3
Manchester City

Jun 26, 2025 - Club World Cup

Juventus
2 :  5
Manchester City

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  2
Manchester City

May 17, 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Manchester City
Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
D D L D D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 27, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
2 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 24, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  1
Manchester United

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  2
Everton
W W D D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  2
Everton

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
4 :  1
Bournemouth

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
West Ham
L L L W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 27, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
2 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 24, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  1
Manchester United

May 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hong Kong
1 :  3
Manchester United

May 28, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Asean All-Stars
1 :  0
Manchester United

May 21, 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United

May 16, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

Manchester City against Manchester United : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

33 %

Draw

33 %

Manchester United

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 15, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 10, 2024 - Community Shield

Manchester City
1 :  1
Manchester United

May 25, 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

Oct 29, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Manchester City

Manchester City - Manchester United: Form Analysis

From a form standpoint, neither teams comes into this game having been at their best during the early weeks of the new season. The Citizens made a pleasing start on gameday one, beating Wolves by four goals to zero, but they came crashing down to earth a week later, losing at home to Spurs without scoring, while despite taking the lead against Brighton on gameday three, they once again came unstuck, losing by two goals to one. 

For United, the season began with a home defeat to Arsenal, while Ruben Amorim's men couldn't bounce back at Craven Cottage, where they tied 1-1 with Fulham, a result that was followed by a dramatic late win against Burnley, with the ever reliable Bruno Fernandes scoring a stoppage-time penalty to secure a 3-2 victory. 

Manchester United v Manchester City last Lineups

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. Trafford
27
M. Nunes
45
A. Khusanov
5
J. Stones
21
R. Ait Nouri
20
B. Silva
16
Rodri
4
T. Reijnders
52
O. Bobb
9
E. Haaland
7
O. Marmoush
10
M. Cunha
7
M. Mount
19
B. Mbeumo
2
D. Dalot
8
B. Fernandes
18
Casemiro
16
A. Diallo
23
L. Shaw
4
M. De Ligt
15
L. Yoro
1
A. Bayindir

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Manchester United

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

M. Bettinelli

Defender

J. Gvardiol

A. Khusanov

R. Lewis

Midfielder

Savinho

R. Cherki

N. O'Reilly

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Martinez

D. Dalot

Midfielder

M. Mount

Forward

M. Cunha

Manchester City & Manchester United Squad Analysis

There are a few injury concerns for Pep Guardiola to contend with here. Rayan Cherki is out, as is Josip Gvardiol. Mateo Kovacic is also expected to continue on the sidelines for the hosts, while there are serious doubts over Omar Marmoush too. Making the selection process a little harder still is a injury to Phil Foden, plus John Stones and Rico Lewis are also carrying knocks. New signing Gianluigi Donnarumma may start between the sticks. 

New signing Gianluigi Donnarumma may start between the sticks. 

As far as the visiting boss in concerned, things are a little easier, though Diogo Dalot and Mason Mount have both been ruled out, while most frustrating is the likely absence of summer signing Matheus Cunha, who is expected to miss out thanks to an recently sustained injury. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Manchester United
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (2 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands T. Reijnders (1 Assists)
Norway O. Bobb (1 Assists)
England R. Lewis (1 Assists)
Egypt O. Marmoush (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal D. Dalot (1 Assists)

Manchester City - Manchester United Key Points

  1. No Man United player has taken more shots than Bryan Mbeumo this season.
  2. Currently, in the EPL, Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 2.67 shots per 90 minutes.
  3. Bryan Mbeumo also averages 1.33 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  4. Bryan Mbeumo has registered at least one shot on target in each on his last two starts for Man United.

Our Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction

As a primary bet ahead of the first Manchester Derby of the season, I simply must side with United's Bryan Mbeumo to register a shot on target. Whether or not the Red Devils seriously improve this season remains to be seen, but what's already clear is that Mbeumo is an excellent signing. The direct and hungry forward/winger has made a decent start to life in Manchester, scoring two goals in all competitions. His shooting stats speak for themselves, making odds of -125 look a little too generous here. Our Man City vs Man United Pick: Bryan Mbeumo 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Bryan Mbeumo 1+ Shots on Target

-125
$400+ offered for betting!

Manchester City vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Picks

Bruno Fernandes 1+ Assist

Odds +400
I'm also going to make a case for Bruno Fernandes registering an assist, which is well worth betting on at odds of +400. The Portuguese maestro was outstanding from a creative point of view last season. registering 10 assists in the league, while he now has more firepower in front of him, which means he could easily do even better this term. As things stand, Fernandes is the best player in the EPL for key passes (= passes leading directy to a shot), which is hard to ignore.
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Manchester City vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions

This game will be played at Etihad Stadium. Kick if is set for 11:30 EST.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Picks