Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
11/9/25 11:30
Liverpool

Prediction:

 

More than 2.5 goals

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 by Erik Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Manchester City and Liverpool face off in Premier League action on Thursday. Both teams enter the match with contrasting trajectories in recent weeks. Manchester City have recovered strongly from early-season setbacks, climbing to second place after a commanding run through September and October. Their performances included dominant wins over Burnley and Manchester United, along with a resilient draw at Arsenal.

A narrow defeat at Aston Villa briefly halted momentum, but City bounced back with a 3–1 victory over Bournemouth and a convincing 4–1 triumph against Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League. Liverpool, on the other hand, endured a rocky spell, losing four straight league matches before stabilizing with a 2–0 win over Aston Villa last weekend. The Reds' recent clean sheet offered encouragement as they aim to regain consistency and climb back toward the top of the table.

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Manchester City vs Liverpool Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Manchester City
Manchester City
37 17 12 1 4 25
5
Liverpool
Liverpool
29 17 9 2 6 3

Manchester City and Liverpool Latest Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  2
Manchester City

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Manchester City
Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  5
Liverpool

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Southampton

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Everton
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  5
Liverpool

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Manchester City against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

33 %

Draw

33 %

Liverpool

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Feb 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 1, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 10, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

Nov 25, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 1, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Liverpool

Dec 22, 2022 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  2
Liverpool

Manchester City - Liverpool: Form Analysis

In terms of current form, Manchester City remain one of the Premier League's most composed sides, characterized by defensive discipline and sustained attacking pressure. Pep Guardiola's team have won seven of their first ten league fixtures, regularly controlling games through possession and territorial dominance. Their passing tempo and organization have left opponents struggling to create clear chances, while their front line has maintained sharpness even against top-tier defenses.

Liverpool, though inconsistent, have shown flashes of improvement. Jürgen Klopp's side have tightened up at the back after weeks of uncertainty and appear to be rediscovering rhythm in attack. The victory over Aston Villa reflected a more compact structure and better balance between defense and offense, key signs of revival ahead of this crucial clash.

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Players list

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

G. Donnarumma

Defender

R. Dias

J. Gvardiol

Midfielder

M. Nunes

N. O'Reilly

B. Silva

N. Gonzalez

P. Foden

Savinho

Forward

E. Haaland

O. Marmoush

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

Defender

J. Gomez

I. Konate

V. Van Dijk

M. Kerkez

Midfielder

R. Gravenberch

C. Jones

D. Szoboszlai

F. Chiesa

Forward

M. Salah

C. Gakpo

Substitutes

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

Defender

J. Stones

R. Ait-Nouri

R. Lewis

N. Ake

Midfielder

Savinho

R. Cherki

O. Bobb

T. Reijnders

Forward

O. Marmoush

J. Doku

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

F. Woodman

Defender

J. Gomez

C. Bradley

M. Kerkez

A. Robertson

Midfielder

F. Chiesa

F. Wirtz

C. Jones

A. Mac Allister

W. Endo

Forward

A. Isak

R. Ngumoha

C. Gakpo

H. Ekitike

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Midfielder

M. Kovacic

Rodri

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

J. Frimpong

Manchester City & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Individually, Manchester City's strength continues to center around Erling Haaland, whose relentless scoring record leads the league with 13 goals. His physical presence and timing inside the box remain unmatched. Phil Foden has been a standout creator, linking play through midfield and contributing vital goals in both domestic and European matches. Kevin De Bruyne, returning from injury, offers another creative spark, while Bernardo Silva's movement and ball control provide flexibility in attack.

At the back, Ruben Dias and his defensive unit have maintained composure and control, allowing City to press confidently. For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah remains the driving force, leading the team's scoring charts and posing a constant counterattacking threat. Luis Díaz has complemented him with pace and flair on the flanks, while midfield additions Alexis Mac Allister and Dominik Szoboszlai have injected energy and creativity. Virgil van Dijk's leadership at the back will be crucial in containing City's attack.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (25 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (10 Goals)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (7 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (4 Assists)
Egypt M. Salah (4 Assists)
Netherlands C. Gakpo (4 Assists)

Manchester City - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Man City are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Liverpool are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in Man City's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 3-2 in Liverpool's last 5 games
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Our Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction

With the match set at the Etihad Stadium, Manchester City enter as favorites due to their superior form and defensive solidity. Liverpool have the talent to trouble them, particularly through Salah's pace and precision on the break, but City's overall cohesion and control at home make them difficult to unsettle. Expect Guardiola's side to dictate possession, while Liverpool look to exploit space on transitions. Our prediction for Manchester City vs Liverpool: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

More than 2.5 goals

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Manchester City vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Picks

Tijjani Reijnders to have over 0.5 assists

Odds +450
It's definitely a long shot, but this is the season for them. Tijjani Reijnders has a chance to put his name on the board, and today may be the day for it. At long odds, getting half an assist is a chance worth taking in this match.
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Available for Manchester City vs Liverpool

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Manchester City vs Liverpool Picks