WTA - WTA Rome


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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
After her quarterfinal finish in Madrid, Madison Keys of the United States looks to build more momentum as she starts another campaign on Thursday against Varvara Gracheva of France in the second round of the 2025 Italian Open.
Keys, the reigning Australian Open champion, reached the quarterfinal of the Madrid Open after rattling off three straight-set wins over Lucia Bronzetti 6-4 6-3, Anna Kalinskaya 7-5 7-6(3), and Donna Vekic 6-2 6-3. In the round of 8, Keys faced former world No.1 Iga Swiatek for the first time since beating her in the semifinal of the Australian Open in January. The American stormed to a 6-0 win in the first set, but the Pole turned the tables around in the next two sets to complete another come-from-behind win.
Gracheva pummeled Ajla Tomljanovic of Australia 6-3 6-4 to end her two-match losing streak. Gracheva landed 75 percent of her first serves, claiming 31 points out of 50 chances. It has been a challenging year for the Russian-born Gracheva, who is 8-12 on the tour this season.
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Madison Keys vs Varvara Gracheva Form
Madison Keys and Varvara Gracheva Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 30, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 3, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Apr 1, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 7, 2025 - WTA Rome
Apr 22, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 17, 2025 - WTA Rouen
Apr 15, 2025 - WTA Rouen
Apr 2, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Mar 31, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Madison Keys - Varvara Gracheva Key Points
- Madison Keys reached the quarterfinals of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Madison Keys is 23-5 on the 2025 WTA season.
- Varvara Gracheva defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3, 6-4 in the first round of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Varvara Gracheva is 8-12 on the 2025 WTA season.
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Our Madison Keys vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction
Without an inkling of a doubt, Madison Keys will walk out of Thursday’s match against Varvara Gracheva as the winner. Keys has gained momentum and an important lesson during her campaign in Madrid, which would prove valuable as she prepares for the competition at Roland Garros. Gracheva deserves some credit for gutting out a win over Tomljanovic. Still, the Frenchwoman’s journey in Rome is just about it because I expect her to lose convincingly to much more experienced and motivated Keys in their second-round clash. Our betting prediction for Madison Keys vs. Varvara Gracheva: Madison Keys -5.5 Games
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