Lyon vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lyon
8/31/25 14:45
Marseille

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-188
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 by Tyler Doty in Ligue 1 Picks

The last match of the third day of Ligue 1 is one of the most eagerly awaited of the season, as Olympique Lyonnais host Olympique de Marseille at the Groupama Stadium this Sunday at 2:45 p.m. EST. The Rhône-based club has been on tenterhooks all summer, having long believed it would be administratively relegated. However, an appeal allowed Les Gones to retain their place in the top flight of French football. Despite several departures during the summer transfer window (Perri, Cherki, Lacazette), they still have big ambitions for the coming months, as they will also be competing in the Europa League group stage.

It's not quite the same story for OM. During the summer, the Marseille management went all out and significantly strengthened Roberto De Zerbi's squad, with a return to the Champions League. However, a crisis quickly hit La Canebière. After Marseille's 1-0 defeat to Stade Rennais, a major altercation took place between Adrien Rabiot and Jonathan Rowe. The incident forced the club's management to suspend both players. OM will be keen to move on quickly, and a victory in the Olympico would allow them to do just that.

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Lyon vs Marseille Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Lyon
Lyon
6 2 2 0 0 4
7
Marseille
Marseille
3 2 1 0 1 2

Lyon and Marseille Latest Matches

Lyon
Lyon Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Metz

Aug 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  1
Lyon

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
2 :  1
Getafe

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Lyon

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Mallorca
0 :  4
Lyon

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
0 :  4
Lyon
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Metz

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
2 :  1
Getafe

Jul 23, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
0 :  0
RWD Molenbeek 47

Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
1 :  0
FC Villefranche Beaujolais

May 17, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  0
Angers

May 4, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  2
Lens
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  1
Lyon

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Lyon

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Mallorca
0 :  4
Lyon

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
0 :  4
Lyon

May 10, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Lyon

Apr 20, 2025 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
2 :  1
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W D D W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC

Aug 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

May 17, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes

Apr 27, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  1
Brest
D W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

Jul 21, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille

Jul 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Excelsior Maassluis
0 :  5
Marseille

May 10, 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  3
Marseille

May 4, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Marseille

Lyon against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)

Lyon

17 %

Draw

0 %

Marseille

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Feb 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  2
Lyon

Sep 22, 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
Marseille

Feb 4, 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

Dec 6, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Lyon

Apr 23, 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  2
Marseille

Nov 6, 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Lyon

Lyon - Marseille: Form Analysis

It took a long time to be certain that Lyon would be playing in Ligue 1 this season. The Rhône-based club avoided administrative relegation thanks to its appeal to the DNCG. It quickly got back on track, winning four of its six preseason games. Only Bayern Munich managed to beat them (2-1). Les Gones prepared themselves well for the return of Ligue 1.

Since the championship resumed, they have been particularly impressive. Paulo Fonseca's team made a big statement in their opening game, winning 1-0 away to RC Lens. This victory gave them a huge confidence boost. Lyon managed to pull up with another win, giving FC Metz no chance (3-0). They made a successful debut at the Groupama Stadium this season.

Lyon has had a great start to Ligue 1.

Marseille also had a very convincing preseason. They didn't lose any of their six preseason games. Just before the start of Ligue 1, they pulled off a major upset by defeating Premier League heavyweights Aston Villa (3-1). The Marseille club thought they would continue their winning streak in their return to league play at Stade Rennais. However, they fell from grace, despite playing with a numerical advantage for almost an hour. Ludovic Blas secured victory for Rennes in the dying minutes (0-1).

Following this setback, an altercation took place between Adrien Rabiot and Jonathan Rowe after the match. Both players were suspended by the club's management. Roberto De Zerbi's men were looking to bounce back when they hosted Paris FC last weekend. They had a scare, as after leading 2-0, they were caught up. At the end of the match, however, Marseille managed to step up a gear to secure their first win of the season (5-2).

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Marseille v Lyon last Lineups

Lyon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

40
R. Descamps
98
A. Maitland-Niles
22
C. Mata
19
M. Niakhate
16
Abner
23
T. Morton
6
T. Tessmann
10
P. Sulc
8
C. Tolisso
11
M. Fofana
69
G. Mikautadze
97
P. Aubameyang
22
T. Weah
9
A. Gouiri
10
M. Greenwood
23
P. Hojbjerg
8
A. Gomes
6
U. Garcia
5
L. Balerdi
4
C. Egan-Riley
62
A. Murillo
1
G. Rulli

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Marseille

Missing players

Lyon
Lyon
Midfielder

O. Mangala

E. Nuamah

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

F. Medina

Midfielder

G. Kondogbia

Forward

I. Paixao

Lyon & Marseille Squad Analysis

Lyon will not have a full squad for this Olympico. Orel Mangala and Ernest Nuamah are still injured. Saël Kumbedi is more than ever on his way out of the Rhône club, as he is set to join VfL Wolfsburg. Paulo Fonseca has seen several important departures during the summer transfer window. Lucas Perri, Duje Caleta-Car, Jordan Veretout, Rayan Cherki and Alexandre Lacazette have all packed their bags. That doesn't mean Les Gones don't have what it takes to play a leading role this season.

They have been strengthened by the arrivals of Dominik Greif, Rubin Kluivert, Pavel Sulc, Adam Karabec, and Tyler Morton. The latter has been impressive since his debut with Lyon. He performed very well in the first two Ligue 1 matches. Paulo Fonseca can also count on a few key players who have stayed, such as Corentin Tolisso, Georges Mikautadze, and Malick Fofana. The Belgian winger scored a superb goal against FC Metz last weekend.

Tyler Morton is impressing in his debut with OL.

As for Marseille, Igor Paixao is still injured. Azzedine Ounahi and Faris Moumbagna are on their way out. Adrien Rabiot has been sidelined since his altercation with Jonathan Rowe, but is reportedly seeking reinstatement in the coming days. There are also several uncertainties. It is not yet known whether Facundo Medina, Geoffrey Kondogbia, and Amine Harit will be able to play in this highly anticipated Ligue 1 match.

The Phocéens did not skimp on spending during the summer transfer window. CJ Egan-Riley, Angel Gomes, Timothy Weah, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang have all joined La Canebière. The latter made a successful return to Marseille, scoring twice against Paris FC last weekend. Mason Greenwood also shone against the Parisians, with one goal and two assists. Roberto De Zerbi will be expecting a lot from Amine Gouiri, who has yet to make his mark this season.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lyon
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
Georgia G. Mikautadze (1 Goals)
France C. Tolisso (1 Goals)
Czech Republic A. Karabec (1 Goals)
Belgium M. Fofana (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Gabon P. Aubameyang (2 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium M. Fofana (1 Assists)
England A. Maitland-Niles (1 Assists)
Czech Republic P. Sulc (1 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Greenwood (2 Assists)
Morocco B. Nadir (2 Assists)

Lyon - Marseille Key Points

  1. Lyon has always scored in its first two Ligue 1 matches.
  2. Over 2.5 goals were scored during Lyon's last match day.
  3. The last two matches between Lyon and Marseille both had over 2.5 goals.
  4. Marseille just scored five goals against Paris FC.
  5. Over 2.5 goals were scored in Marseille's last preseason game.
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Our Lyon vs Marseille Prediction

This Olympico match is eagerly awaited in this edition of Ligue 1. Lyon and Marseille won't want to miss out on such an important match for their fans. One thing is certain: we can expect a spectacular show at the Groupama Stadium. Lyon have already scored four goals in their first two Ligue 1 matches. For their part, Marseille have just scored five against Paris FC. This bodes well for Sunday evening's clash. It would not be surprising to see a lot of goals.

Our Lyon vs Marseille prediction: over 2.5 goals in the match!

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-188
$300 offered for betting!

Lyon vs Marseille - Other Interesting Picks

Double Chance: Lyon and Draw

Odds -175
It's been a perfect start to the season for Les Gones. OL won their first two Ligue 1 matches. They don't want to take their foot off the gas for this Olympico, especially in front of their fans. They'll be able to get away with at least a draw.
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Malick Fofana Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +300
OL will have offensive weapons to shake up OM's defense. Malik Fofana scored against FC Metz, and has had that goal-scoring energy so far this season.
$300 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lyon vs Marseille Picks
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