Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Picks - ATP Montpellier
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Boasting a 3-1 head-to-head series lead over Flavio Cobolli, Luca Nardi will walk into Thursday’s showdown with fellow Italian netter as an enticing underdog moneyline pick at +138.
Recommended Pick: Luca Nardi will win
Potential Payout: $238 for every $100 Bet (+138).
Current Form:
Fresh off a final appearance at a challenger tournament in Manama, Bahrain, Nardi captured his fifth win in six matches by dropping Nikoloz Basilashvili of Georgia 6-3, 6-3 in the first round. Ranked six places off the ATP top-100, Nardi has compiled a 5-4 record this year, winning 67 percent of his first serves and saving 56.6 percent of breakpoints.
Cobolli will try to bounce back from a disappointing campaign at the Australian Open, where he was shown the door as early as the first round by the world’s No.152 Arthur Ferry of Great Britain. Cobolli currently sits at No.20 in the world rankings, but the Italian has only won one (over Stan Wawrinka 6-4, 6-7, 7-6) in three ATP Tour matches in 2026.
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Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Form
Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Feb 4, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 10, 2026 - Adelaide International
Oct 13, 2025 - Almaty Open
Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 17, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 5, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 4, 2026 - United Cup
Nov 23, 2025 - Davis Cup
Nov 21, 2025 - Davis Cup
Nov 19, 2025 - Davis Cup
Luca Nardi against Flavio Cobolli : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
May 8, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Nov 30, 2023 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli Key Points
- Flavio Cobolli bombed out in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open.
- Flavio Cobolli is 1-3 on the 2026 ATP Season.
- Luca Nardi has won five of his last six matches.
- Luca Nardi is 3-1 vs. Flavio Cobolli in their head-to-head series.
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Our Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Luca Nardi upsets Flavio Cobolli 4-6, 7-6, 6-4
Nardi might be outside the top-100 right now, but the Italian already has the weapons to match up well against higher-ranked opponents. Nardi will enter the match with some momentum after winning five of his last six matches. He also owns a 3-1 head-to-head series over Cobolli, boosting my belief that he’s capable of coming through with an upset, especially if he gets hot early.
Our betting prediction for Luca Nardi vs. Flavio Cobolli: Luca Nardi will win
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.