Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Picks - ATP Montpellier

ATP - ATP Montpellier

ATP 163 Italy
Luca Nardi
2/5/26 09:55
ATP 14 Italy
Flavio Cobolli

Prediction:

 

Luca Nardi will win

+138
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Boasting a 3-1 head-to-head series lead over Flavio Cobolli, Luca Nardi will walk into Thursday’s showdown with fellow Italian netter as an enticing underdog moneyline pick at +138.

Recommended Pick: Luca Nardi will win

Potential Payout: $238 for every $100 Bet (+138).

Current Form:

Fresh off a final appearance at a challenger tournament in Manama, Bahrain, Nardi captured his fifth win in six matches by dropping Nikoloz Basilashvili of Georgia 6-3, 6-3 in the first round. Ranked six places off the ATP top-100, Nardi has compiled a 5-4 record this year, winning 67 percent of his first serves and saving 56.6 percent of breakpoints.

Cobolli will try to bounce back from a disappointing campaign at the Australian Open, where he was shown the door as early as the first round by the world’s No.152 Arthur Ferry of Great Britain. Cobolli currently sits at No.20 in the world rankings, but the Italian has only won one (over Stan Wawrinka 6-4, 6-7, 7-6) in three ATP Tour matches in 2026.

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Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Form

Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli Latest Matches

Luca Nardi Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 4, 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Nikoloz Basilashvili
0 :  2
Luca Nardi

Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Luca Nardi
1 :  3
Yibing Wu

Jan 10, 2026 - Adelaide International

Luca Nardi
1 :  2
Aleksandar Vukic

Oct 13, 2025 - Almaty Open

Fabian Marozsan
2 :  0
Luca Nardi

Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Sebastian Ofner
1 :  2
Luca Nardi
Flavio Cobolli Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 17, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Arthur Fery
3 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

Jan 5, 2026 - United Cup

Flavio Cobolli
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

Jan 4, 2026 - United Cup

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  1
Stan Wawrinka

Nov 23, 2025 - Davis Cup

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  1
Jaume Munar

Nov 21, 2025 - Davis Cup

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  1
Zizou Bergs

Nov 19, 2025 - Davis Cup

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

Luca Nardi against Flavio Cobolli : Head to Head (H2H)

Luca Nardi

100 %

Flavio Cobolli

0 %

May 8, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Luca Nardi
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

Nov 30, 2023 - Next Gen ATP Finals

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  3
Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli Key Points

  1. Flavio Cobolli bombed out in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open.
  2. Flavio Cobolli is 1-3 on the 2026 ATP Season.
  3. Luca Nardi has won five of his last six matches.
  4. Luca Nardi is 3-1 vs. Flavio Cobolli in their head-to-head series.
Up to $200 to bet on Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli! 

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Our Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Luca Nardi upsets Flavio Cobolli 4-6, 7-6, 6-4

Nardi might be outside the top-100 right now, but the Italian already has the weapons to match up well against higher-ranked opponents. Nardi will enter the match with some momentum after winning five of his last six matches. He also owns a 3-1 head-to-head series over Cobolli, boosting my belief that he’s capable of coming through with an upset, especially if he gets hot early.

Our betting prediction for Luca Nardi vs. Flavio Cobolli: Luca Nardi will win

Prediction:

 

Luca Nardi will win

+138
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli Picks