Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Denver Nuggets
3/5/26 22:00
Los Angeles Lakers

Prediction:

 

Over 241.5 points

-106
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers meet tonight, with two contenders separated by a single game in the West race at Ball Arena. Denver is 38–24 (16–12 at home) and Los Angeles is 37–24 (19–12 away), and the season series already has a little bite: the Lakers won 115–107 in the first matchup in Denver, so the Nuggets are chasing more than just another notch in the standings.

Los Angeles arrives in rhythm. Over the last week, the Lakers have stacked wins over New Orleans (110–101), Sacramento (128–104) and Golden State (129–101), and even in their two losses just before that (113–110 at Phoenix and 110–109 vs Orlando), they were within a possession late.

Denver's last five have been a sturdier mixed bag: wins at Utah (128–125) and vs Boston (103–84) contrasted with losses to Minnesota (117–108), Oklahoma City in overtime (127–121 OT) and Golden State (128–117). That contrast is exactly why this feels like a tone-setter for March: the Lakers are banking wins, while Denver is still searching for its cleanest two-way 48 minutes.

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
5 Denver Nuggets
0.659 82 54 28 12
6 Los Angeles Lakers
0.646 82 53 29 3

Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers Latest Matches

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 2, 2026 - NBA

Utah Jazz
125 :  128
Denver Nuggets

Mar 1, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
108 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 27, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
103 :  84
Boston Celtics

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
128 :  117
Denver Nuggets

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
103 :  157
Denver Nuggets
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 1, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
108 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
103 :  84
Boston Celtics

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  116
Memphis Grizzlies

Feb 9, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
117 :  119
Cleveland Cavaliers

Feb 1, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
111 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 30, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  109
LA Clippers
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 2, 2026 - NBA

Utah Jazz
125 :  128
Denver Nuggets

Feb 27, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
128 :  117
Denver Nuggets

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
103 :  157
Denver Nuggets

Feb 19, 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  114
Denver Nuggets

Feb 7, 2026 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
120 :  136
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 3, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
110 :  101
New Orleans Pelicans

Mar 1, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
128 :  104
Sacramento Kings

Feb 28, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
101 :  129
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 26, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
113 :  110
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 24, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
109 :  110
Orlando Magic

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
89 :  111
Boston Celtics
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 3, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
110 :  101
New Orleans Pelicans

Mar 1, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
128 :  104
Sacramento Kings

Feb 24, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
109 :  110
Orlando Magic

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
89 :  111
Boston Celtics

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
125 :  122
LA Clippers

Feb 12, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
124 :  104
Dallas Mavericks
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 28, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
101 :  129
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 26, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
113 :  110
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 3, 2026 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
109 :  125
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 1, 2026 - NBA

New York Knicks
112 :  100
Los Angeles Lakers

Jan 30, 2026 - NBA

Washington Wizards
111 :  142
Los Angeles Lakers

Jan 28, 2026 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
129 :  99
Los Angeles Lakers

Denver Nuggets against Los Angeles Lakers : Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Nuggets

50 %

Los Angeles Lakers

50 %

Jan 20, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
107 :  115
Los Angeles Lakers

Mar 19, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
120 :  108
Denver Nuggets

Mar 14, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  126
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 22, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
100 :  123
Los Angeles Lakers

Nov 23, 2024 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
102 :  127
Denver Nuggets

Apr 29, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
108 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers
Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Picks

Players list

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
N. Jokic Z. Nnaji

C. Braun

J. Strawther

J. Murray

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
D. Ayton L. Doncic

M. Smart

A. Reaves

L. James

Substitutes

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
D. Holmes II J. Valanciunas T. Hardaway Jr. B. Brown

J. Pickett

T. Jones

D. Roddy

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
J. Hayes

K. Bufkin

D. Knecht

L. Kennard

B. James

J. LaRavia

A. Thiero

J. Vanderbilt

R. Hachimura

Denver Nuggets - Los Angeles Lakers Key Points

  1. The Over is 7-0 in the Lakers’ last 7 games as underdogs vs. teams on the first leg of a back-to-back
  2. The Over is 14-2 in the Nuggets’ last 16 games vs. Pacific Division teams
  3. The Nuggets are 7-0 SU in their last 7 home games vs. the Lakers after a road win
  4. The Lakers are 0-10 in their last 10 games as underdogs

Our Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction

Over the past two weeks, the headliners have been loud. Jamal Murray is coming off a 45-point outburst in Utah, complete with eight assists and eight made threes, and Nikola Jokić paired it with 22 points, 12 rebounds and five assists in the same win. The Lakers counter with Luka Dončić, whose last five games have been a do-everything stretch (28.8 points, 9.4 assists, 7.6 rebounds), plus dependable support: Austin Reaves has averaged 15.4 points across his last five games, and center Deandre Ayton has averaged 10.4 points and 7.8 rebounds in the Lakers' last five while handling a wide range of roles.

The injury report is the real swing factor. Denver lists Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson out with hamstring issues, with Cameron Johnson a game-time decision; Los Angeles has Maxi Kleber as a game-time call with a back issue.

If Denver gets another typical Jokić control game and even an average Murray night, the Nuggets' home-court comfort and half-court efficiency make them the safer side. The Lakers' path is clear too: win the possession battle, pressure Denver into turnovers, and make the shot clock short for everyone not named Jokić. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers: Over 241.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 241.5 points

-106
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.