Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10/12/25 13:00
Los Angeles Chargers

Prediction:

 

Over 44.5

+102
$350 offered for betting!

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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

A Sunday afternoon matchup features the Los Angeles Chargers and the Miami Dolphins, two teams searching for direction as the season reaches a critical stretch. The Chargers are still reeling from a 34–28 home loss to Washington, where quarterback Justin Herbert endured his toughest outing of the year, throwing for just 166 yards—his lowest total of the season. Making matters worse, rookie running back Omarion Hampton, the focal point of the offense, suffered an ankle injury that will send him to injured reserve.

With the offensive line also dealing with multiple injuries, head coach Sean McVay is preparing to use a committee approach in the backfield. Analysts caution fantasy players and bettors alike not to overvalue either Kimani Vidal or Hassan Haskins, given the Chargers’ struggles up front—they rank 26th in yards before contact and 29th in points per drive. Haskins’ only clear advantage over Vidal lies in his special teams role. If the ground game fails to gain traction, Los Angeles could explore signing a veteran running back to stabilize the offense.

On the other side, the Miami Dolphins enter at 1–4 after suffering a heartbreaking 27–24 loss to Charlotte. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa continues to produce, throwing for 10 touchdowns against four interceptions, but the defense has been unable to hold up its end. With Tyreek Hill still nursing a knee injury, Tagovailoa has leaned heavily on Jaylen Waddle and explosive rookie De’Von Achane. Defensive coordinator Vic Fangio’s unit was gashed last week by Panthers running back Rico Dowdle, and now they must contend with a rested Herbert looking to rebound.

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
9 Los Angeles Chargers
0.647 17 11 6
22 Miami Dolphins
0.412 17 7 10

Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers Latest Matches

Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
27 :  24
Miami Dolphins

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  21
New York Jets

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  33
New England Patriots

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
32 :  20
Miami Dolphins
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  21
New York Jets

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  33
New England Patriots

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
29 :  17
San Francisco 49ers

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
32 :  26
New York Jets

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  15
New England Patriots

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  19
Las Vegas Raiders
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
27 :  24
Miami Dolphins

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
32 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
3 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  12
Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
10 :  27
Washington Commanders

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
21 :  18
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
23 :  20
Denver Broncos

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  20
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
32 :  12
Los Angeles Chargers
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
10 :  27
Washington Commanders

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
23 :  20
Denver Broncos

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 19, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
34 :  27
Denver Broncos

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  40
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 25, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
23 :  30
Baltimore Ravens
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
21 :  18
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  20
Los Angeles Chargers

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
32 :  12
Los Angeles Chargers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
20 :  34
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 28, 2024 - NFL

New England Patriots
7 :  40
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Miami Dolphins against Los Angeles Chargers : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Dolphins

0 %

Los Angeles Chargers

100 %

Dec 11, 2022 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
23 :  17
Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins - Los Angeles Chargers Key Points

  1. The Over is 11-0 in the Dolphins’ last 11 games on the East Coast
  2. The Over is 6-0 in the last 6 Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium
  3. The Dolphins are 0-10 in their last 10 games when underdogs vs. AFC teams
  4. The Chargers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a home loss

Our Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction

Miami’s defensive issues are compounded by injuries. Linebacker Tyrel Dodson remains in concussion protocol after a head injury in Week 5, and his availability is uncertain. Cornerback Cornell Armstrong, dealing with a hamstring issue, is expected to miss at least a couple more games, leaving Miami’s secondary vulnerable.

Oddsmakers initially set the Chargers as 5.5-point favorites, but that line has since dropped to -4. Projections call for a Los Angeles victory; however, with Hampton sidelined and the offensive line in flux, many bettors are taking Miami and the points, confident that head coach Mike McDaniel’s offense can keep things competitive.

Herbert will rely heavily on Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston to exploit Miami’s struggling pass defense. If the Dolphins’ defensive breakdowns continue, this contest could easily turn into a high-scoring affair. Despite Los Angeles being favored on the moneyline, the injury situation has shifted momentum slightly toward the underdog, making Miami to cover an appealing play for bettors expecting another close finish. Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins: Over 44.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 44.5

+102
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Picks