Liverpool vs Qarabag FK Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Liverpool
1/28/26 15:00
Qarabag FK

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

-115
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Champions League Picks

Six-time Champions League winners Liverpool are aiming for a Champions League top-8 finish and are in a very favorable position to achieve that objective when they face Qarabag on the final matchday. The Reds currently sit fourth in the 36-team table with 15 points from 7 matches.

Wednesday's match will be the first-ever meeting between Liverpool and an Azerbaijani opponent, while for Qarabag, this fixture marks their eighth encounter with a Premier League team, having never won before and losing seven times.

Qarabag are looking to make history; no team from their country has ever reached the Champions League knockout stage before. While a top 8 finish seems impossible for them, at least reaching the knockout stage appears possible, especially after their recent thrilling victory in Baku against Eintracht Frankfurt, where Mustafazada scored the winning goal in the 94th minute.

Liverpool midfielder Florian Wirtz, during his time with Bayer Leverkusen, frequently faced Qarabag in European competitions, scoring two goals and providing three assists. Meanwhile, Camilo Durán became the first player in Qarabag's history to score more than one goal in a Champions League match.

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Liverpool vs Qarabag FK Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Liverpool
18 8 6 0 2 +12
22 Qarabag FK
10 8 3 1 4 -8

Liverpool and Qarabag FK Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
D D W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 12, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
4 :  1
Barnsley

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  2
Liverpool
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 12, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
4 :  1
Barnsley

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Leeds

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland
W W D D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool
Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
0 :  2
Kapaz

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
3 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Jan 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Kghm Zaglebie Lubin
1 :  3
Qarabag FK

Dec 21, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Gabala
1 :  2
Qarabag FK

Dec 18, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Sabah FK
2 :  1
Qarabag FK

Dec 14, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
5 :  1
Araz Nakhchivan
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
0 :  2
Kapaz

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
3 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Dec 14, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
5 :  1
Araz Nakhchivan

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  4
Ajax

Dec 3, 2025 - Azerbaijan Cup

Qarabag FK
3 :  0
Karvan Yevlakh

Nov 29, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
2 :  0
Karvan Yevlakh
W L D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Kghm Zaglebie Lubin
1 :  3
Qarabag FK

Dec 21, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Gabala
1 :  2
Qarabag FK

Dec 18, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Sabah FK
2 :  1
Qarabag FK

Dec 6, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Zira FK
1 :  1
Qarabag FK

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  0
Qarabag FK

Nov 21, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Sumgayit
2 :  4
Qarabag FK
Liverpool vs Qarabag FK Picks

Liverpool against Qarabag FK Lineups: Starting 11

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
Alisson
30
J. Frimpong
38
R. Gravenberch
4
V. van Dijk
26
A. Robertson
7
F. Wirtz
10
A. Mac Allister
8
D. Szoboszlai
11
M. Salah
22
H. Ekitike
18
C. Gakpo
17
C. Duran
10
A. Zoubir
9
J. Montiel
15
L. Andrade
8
M. Jankovic
35
P. Bicalho
44
E. Cafarquliyev
81
K. Medina
13
B. Mustafazada
2
M. Silva
99
M. Kochalski

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Qarabag FK

Substitutes

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

F. Woodman

Defender

M. Kerkez

A. Nallo

D. Szoboszlai 75'

Midfielder

K. Morrison

T. Nyoni

H. Ekitike 67'

F. Chiesa

C. Gakpo 74'

W. Endo

J. Frimpong 4'

Forward

R. Ngumoha

F. Wirtz 67'

Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK
Goalkeeper

A. Ramazanov

F. Buntic

Defender

T. Bayramov

E. Cafarquliyev 68'

Daniel

L. Andrade 68'

B. Huseynov

S. Mmaee

A. Huseynov

Midfielder

N. Akhundzade

C. Duran 68'

C. Kouakou

O. Kashchuk

Forward

M. Qurbanly

J. Montiel 85'

E. Addai

A. Zoubir 81'

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

J. Gomez

C. Bradley

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Qarabag FK
Top Goalscorer
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia C. Duran (5 Goals)
Best assists
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (4 Assists)
Best assists
Azerbaijan E. Jafarguliyev (3 Assists)

Liverpool - Qarabag FK Key Points

  1. Liverpool controlled possession with 67% of the game, but lost to Bournemouth in their last match
  2. Eight of Qarabag's last nine matches have seen over 2.5 goals
  3. Liverpool had 11 corner kicks in their previous match
  4. Liverpool last won the Champions League in 2004/05
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Our Liverpool vs Qarabag FK Prediction

Liverpool, due to their rocky start to the Premier League season, have little chance of defending their title. The Reds had embarked on a 13-match unbeaten run, including six draws, which came to an end with their last defeat against Bournemouth, conceding a goal in the 95th minute.

Qarabag were also defeated in the Azerbaijani Premier League, but their manager rested almost all of his starters in preparation for the match at Anfield.

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Qarabag is: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

-115
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.