Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Liverpool
9/9/26 15:00
Atletico Madrid

Prediction:

 

Liverpool win the match

-145
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 by Tyler Doty | in Champions League Picks

One of the marquee matchups of Matchday 1 of the Champions League group stage pits Liverpool against Atlético Madrid. The game will take place this Wednesday at Anfield. Under the guidance of Andoni Iraola, the Reds are highly anticipated this season. They made some major signings over the summer, with the arrivals of Ronald Araujo, Victor Muñoz, and Bradley Barcola. The Mersey club has the advantage of kicking off the campaign in front of its home fans. Always very strong at home, they could very well send a strong message to the competition.

Atlético Madrid is still considered an underdog in the Champions League. It’s never easy to beat Diego Simeone’s men. However, the Madrid club won’t necessarily be traveling to England brimming with confidence. They’ve just suffered their first setback of the La Liga season with a heavy 3-0 loss on the road to Athletic Bilbao. 

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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Form

Liverpool and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
L L W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 4, 2026 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Liverpool

Aug 29, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  0
Como 1907

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  3
Monaco

Aug 2, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
Leeds
W W L L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 29, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  0
Como 1907

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  3
Monaco

Aug 2, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
Leeds

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
1 :  0
Wrexham

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  2
Sunderland
L W L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 4, 2026 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Liverpool

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

May 15, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  0
Liverpool
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid
D L W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Liverpool against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

60 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico Madrid

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.6
Total goals
60%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.6
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Nov 3, 2021 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Oct 19, 2021 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  3
Liverpool

Mar 11, 2020 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Feb 18, 2020 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Liverpool

Liverpool - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis

It took Liverpool a while to get off the mark in this new Premier League season. They were held to draws in their first two matchdays by Newcastle United (2-2) and Nottingham Forest (2-2). It wasn’t until Matchday 3 that the Reds managed to secure a victory against Ipswich Town (0-2). Alexander Isak took advantage of the opportunity to boost his confidence with a two-goal performance.

The team, now coached by Andoni Iraola, is also using this momentum to get into top form ahead of their Champions League campaign. In fact, they’ll kick off the group stage with a very tough first test.

Atlético Madrid is coming off a heavy defeat on the road against Athletic Bilbao in La Liga (3-0).

Like their next opponent, Atlético Madrid has high hopes for this new edition of the Champions League. However, it can’t be said that the team is at the top of its game heading into this first matchday of the group stage. The Colchoneros hadn’t gotten off to a bad start in La Liga, having earned 7 points after their first 3 matchdays.

However, they suffered their first setback last weekend. Diego Simeone and his men were soundly defeated on the road against Athletic Bilbao (3-0). That’s not the best way to prepare for what is always a tricky trip to Anfield.

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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Picks

Atletico Madrid v Liverpool last Lineups

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Alisson
33
R. Araujo
5
J. Jacquet
4
V. Van Dijk
6
M. Kerkez
10
A. Mac Allister
8
D. Szoboszlai
18
C. Gakpo
7
F. Wirtz
23
V. Munoz
9
A. Isak
10
A. Baena
7
L. Kang-in
11
A. Lookman
23
M. Hjulmand
8
P. Barrios
20
G. Simeone
22
A. Grimaldo
17
D. Hancko
18
M. Pubill
14
M. Llorente
13
J. Oblak

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Substitutes

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

Defender

K. Tsimikas

J. Frimpong

Midfielder

W. Endo

L. Koumas

T. Nyoni

R. Gravenberch

Forward

R. Ngumoha

B. Barcola

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Musso

Defender

J. Dominguez

C. Romero

R. Le Normand

D. Martinez Moreno

Midfielder

J. Cardoso

Koke

J. Castillo

R. Martinez Moya

Forward

J. Alvarez

J. David

A. Ortiz

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

C. Bradley

Forward

H. Ekitike

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Liverpool & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis

For their Champions League debut, Liverpool will be without Conor Bradley, Joe Gomez, Giovanni Leoni, and Hugo Ekitiké. However, Andoni Iraola has most of his key players available for this highly anticipated matchup. Alisson Becker is already in good form in goal for the Reds. In front of him, Jérémy Jacquet has been very solid since the start of the season when he’s been deployed at center back.

Dominik Szoboszlai could once again be deployed in midfield alongside Alexis Mac Allister. Up front, Cody Gakpo and Alexander Isak have been a perfect match. Last weekend, Gakpo provided two assists to Isak. Bradley Barcola came off the bench for the final 30 minutes against Ipswich Town. The former PSG player is hoping for even more playing time this midweek.

Bradley Barcola made his debut for Liverpool last weekend.

As for Atlético Madrid, Arnau Ortiz is suspended for this away game. In addition, Alexander Sorloth is injured. Diego Simeone will certainly want to rely on a strong defense at Anfield. As a result, Jan Oblak will be expected to shine in goal. This could also be Cristian Romero’s chance to make his first start in central defense. Simeone has other talented players at his disposal in the back, including Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, and Alejandro Grimaldo.

In midfield, Morten Hjulmand, signed this summer, is already making an impact alongside Pablo Barrios. The Colchoneros also have plenty of firepower up front. Lee Kang-in is off to a strong start with his new team. He’ll be looking to trouble the Reds’ defense, as will Ademola Lookman, Alex Baena, and Julian Alvarez, who ultimately decided to stay in the Spanish capital.

Liverpool - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. Liverpool just defeated Ipswich Town in the Premier League (0-2).
  2. Liverpool remains undefeated after their first three Premier League matches.
  3. Liverpool can count on home field advantage.
  4. Atlético Madrid suffered a heavy defeat in La Liga on the road against Athletic Bilbao (3-0).
  5. Atlético Madrid has not kept a single clean sheet in their last three matches.
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Our Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Before kicking off their Champions League campaign, Atlético Madrid took a major blow. Last weekend, the Colchoneros suffered a crushing defeat on the road against Athletic Bilbao in La Liga (3-0). It won’t be easy for them to bounce back for this trip to Anfield. Liverpool is determined to send a strong message to the competition by taking down a major contender at home. Andoni Iraola’s men will have their work cut out for them!

Our prediction for Liverpool vs. Atlético Madrid: Liverpool to win!

Prediction:

 

Liverpool win the match

-145
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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Picks

Over 2.5 goals

Odds -162
Over 2.5 goals hit in 2 of Liverpool's first 3 Premier League matchdays. The bet also paid out in Atlético Madrid's 3 previous matches. That could very well be the case again this Wednesday.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.