Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - Japan Women's Open

WTA - Japan Women's Open

Leylah Fernandez Canada
Leylah Fernandez WTA 23
10/28/26 22:40
Elise Mertens Belgium
Elise Mertens WTA 14

Prediction:

 

Leylah Annie Fernandez to Win

+100
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Having faced off at the WTA event in Ningbo, Leylah Annie Fernandez and Elise Mertens will go up against each other for the second week on the spin. Last week, it was the Canadian who emerged victorious, and it is also the Canadian player who has been in better form of late. The Belgian has tailed off, winning only one of her last four matches. 

At the time of writing, less than 24 hours before this match is due to begin, Leylah Annie Fernandez is not quite being supported as much as Elise Mertens in the betting, but is that correct? Our money says it is not. Last week, the Canadian player looked in great shape in Ningbo, where she reached the final, missing out on the prize only due to facing the world number one, plus she defeated Mertens on her way to finishing as the runner-up. 

Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens Form

Leylah Fernandez and Elise Mertens Latest Matches

Leylah Fernandez Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 27, 2026 - Japan Women's Open

Leylah Fernandez
2 :  0
Himeno Sakatsume

Oct 25, 2026 - Ningbo Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Leylah Fernandez

Oct 24, 2026 - Ningbo Open

Leylah Fernandez
2 :  0
Marie Bouzkova

Oct 23, 2026 - Ningbo Open

Leylah Fernandez
2 :  1
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Oct 21, 2026 - Ningbo Open

Leylah Fernandez
2 :  1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Oct 19, 2026 - Ningbo Open

Elise Mertens
1 :  2
Leylah Fernandez
Elise Mertens Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 26, 2026 - Japan Women's Open

Moyuka Uchijima
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Oct 19, 2026 - Ningbo Open

Elise Mertens
1 :  2
Leylah Fernandez

Oct 13, 2026 - WTA Wuhan Open

Daria Snigur
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

Oct 10, 2026 - WTA China Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

Oct 9, 2026 - WTA China Open

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

Oct 7, 2026 - WTA China Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Leylah Fernandez against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)

Leylah Fernandez

100 %

Elise Mertens

0 %

Oct 19, 2026 - Ningbo Open

Elise Mertens
1 :  2
Leylah Fernandez

Sep 19, 2023 - WTA Guadalajara

Leylah Fernandez
2 :  0
Elise Mertens
Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens Picks

Leylah Fernandez - Elise Mertens Key Points

  1. Leylah Annie Fernandez has shown hot form of late, reaching the final in Ningbo last week.
  2. When the pair met just last week, Leylah Annie Fernandez came out on top.
  3. Leylah Annie Fernandez has won two of her last three hard-court matches against Elise Mertens.
  4. Leylah Annie Fernandez has won each of her last five matches against non-top-five players.
  5. Elise Mertens has only won one of her last four hard-court matches.

Our Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens Prediction

Sure, Elise Mertens did steady herself to win her first-round match in the Japanese capital, but let's face it, her recent form is far from inspiring, and she likely won't be feeling too confident having lost to Leylah Annie Fernandez just last week. In contrast, the Canadian will be feeling confident, because she's up against a player whom she defeated a week ago and because she reached a final. 

On all recent evidence, the world number 23 warrants more support than she's getting at the time of writing. Betting on Leylah Annie Fernandez to win is worth doing at anything above -133. 

Our Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Elise Mertens Pick: Leylah Annie Fernandez to Win.

Prediction:

 

Leylah Annie Fernandez to Win

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.