Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Bundesliga Picks
On Saturday, I'm particularly interested in one German Bundesliga game, at least from a betting point of view. That game is the one due to take place at Red Bull Arena, where RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund will get down to business. This is a big game. The visitors are not yet fully out of the title race, and if they can win here, they'll continue to have a slight chance of catching Bayern. Similarly, the hosts have plenty to fight for, with a top-four place absolutely up for grabs.
Right now, Saturday's hosts are two points behind Stuttgart in fourth, so their top-four dreams are very much alive, though they too need to continue picking up wins. Rather, they need to get back to winning ways following their tie with Wolfsburg on home soil a week ago. Can they take advantage of the fact that Dortmund played a UEFA Champions League game in the week?
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Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 15, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal
Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 15, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal
Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 12, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 28, 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 9, 2026 - Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga
Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2024 - Bundesliga
Apr 27, 2024 - Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2023 - Bundesliga
Apr 5, 2023 - DFB Pokal
Leipzig against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
L. Zingerle
DefenderM. Finkgrafe
E. Bitshiabu
B. Henrichs
E. Banzuzi
T. Gomis
J. Bakayoko
A. Nusa
C. Harder
A. Meyer
DefenderE. Benkara
Y. Couto
S. Ozcan
C. Chukwuemeka
J. Brandt
K. Adeyemi
F. Silva
S. Inacio
Missing players
P. Gulacsi
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
N. Sule
N. Schlotterbeck
F. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
C. Baumgartner
(13 Goals)
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
D. Raum
(7 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(7 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- At home in the Bundesliga this season, Christoph Baumgartner has registered a shot on target in eight out of 11 games.
- On home soil in the league this term, Christoph Baumgartner averages 1.18 shots on target per 90 minutes.
- Earlier in the season, Christoph Baumgartner registered two shots on target against Dortmund.
- In his last two Bundesliga appearances, Christoph Baumgartner has taken six shots.
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Our Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Taking odds of -145 may not be for everyone, but if you don't mind a short one and are still looking for value, look no further. One of Leipzig's most talented and influential players, Christoph Baumgartner has been shooting lots in recent matches, while he scored not once but twice against Dortmund earlier in the campaign, so he certainly knows how to hurt Saturday's opponents.
It's fair to say that Baumgartner knows how to test opposition stoppers on home soil, registering 11 shots on target in ten home games this season, averaging 1.18 shots per 90 minutes. He's also taken more than one shot in 11 of his last 12 league games, so it's not like he doesn't go for goal on a seriously regular basis.
Our RB Leipzig vs Dortmund Pick: Christoph Baumgartner 1+ Shots on Target.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
