Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5/3/25 09:30
Bayern Munich

Prediction:

 

Half Time: Draw, Full Time: Bayern Munich

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 by Erik Gibbs in Bundesliga Picks

Bayern Munich travel to the Red Bull Arena on Saturday for a crucial Bundesliga clash with RB Leipzig, knowing that a victory will secure the league title. After falling short last season, Bayern are back at the summit, and under Vincent Kompany’s leadership, they are poised to reclaim domestic dominance.

For the manager, it would mark a successful debut campaign. For Harry Kane, this match offers the chance to finally lift the first major trophy of his professional career.

Bayern’s recent form has been impressive. Their 3-0 victory over Mainz last weekend not only marked Thomas Müller's 500th Bundesliga appearance but also extended their winning run to two matches.

The Bavarians have been a force throughout the campaign, scoring a league-high 90 goals while conceding just 29—the best defensive record in Germany’s top flight. With attacking talents like Kane, Jamal Musiala, and Michael Olise in peak form, Bayern look near-unstoppable in the final third.

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Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
75 31 23 6 2 61
5
Leipzig
Leipzig
49 31 13 10 8 6

Leipzig and Bayern Munich Latest Matches

Leipzig
Leipzig Latest matches
L L W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  0
Leipzig

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

Apr 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Leipzig

Apr 5, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Hoffenheim

Apr 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Leipzig

Mar 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  0
Leipzig
D W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

Apr 5, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Hoffenheim

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Feb 26, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Feb 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Heidenheim
D D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  0
Leipzig

Apr 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Leipzig

Apr 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Leipzig

Mar 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  0
Leipzig

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

Feb 14, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
W L D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Apr 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich
W L W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Mar 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
St. Pauli

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  3
Bochum

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Apr 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  2
Bayern Munich

Feb 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Leipzig against Bayern Munich : Head to Head (H2H)

Leipzig

33 %

Draw

33 %

Bayern Munich

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Leipzig

Feb 24, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Leipzig

Sep 30, 2023 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Aug 12, 2023 - Super Cup

Bayern Munich
0 :  3
Leipzig

May 20, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  3
Leipzig

Jan 20, 2023 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich v Leipzig last Lineups

Leipzig

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

26
M. Vandevoordt
3
L. Geertruida
16
L. Klostermann
5
E. Bitshiabu
21
K. Nedeljkovic
17
R. Baku
13
N. Seiwald
14
C. Baumgartner
23
C. Lukeba
30
B. Sesko
10
X. Simons
7
S. Gnabry
9
H. Kane
10
L. Sane
45
A. Pavlovic
6
J. Kimmich
17
M. Olise
44
J. Stanisic
3
K. Min-jae
15
E. Dier
27
K. Laimer
40
J. Urbig

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Bayern Munich

Missing players

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

P. Gulacsi

Defender

B. Henrichs

W. Orban

Midfielder

X. Schlager

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Defender

T. Buchmann

H. Ito

D. Upamecano

Midfielder

A. Davies

J. Musiala

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leipzig
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia B. Sesko (20 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (36 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium L. Openda (7 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Olise (14 Assists)

Leipzig and Bayern Munich Stats in Bundesliga

Leipzig
Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
42%
Victories
74%
32%
Draw
19%
26%
Defeats
6%
2.9
Total goals per match
3.84
1.55
Goals scored per match
2.9
1.35
Goals conceded per match
0.94
55%
Over 2.5
77%
45%
Under 2.5
23%
52%
BTTS
55%
42%
No goals conceded
45%

Leipzig - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Bayern Munich are 13-3-1 in 17 Bundesliga games
  2. Leipzig have lost 4 of their last 6 games overall
  3. The Over 2.5 goals is 11-2 in Bayern’s last 13 games
  4. Leipzig are 6-0 in their last 6 home games
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Our Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction

RB Leipzig have had a turbulent season. Sitting fifth in the standings, they remain in a tight race for the final Champions League spot, just two points behind Freiburg. A 4-0 drubbing at the hands of Eintracht Frankfurt last time out highlighted their defensive frailties, with 42 goals conceded this season. Their inability to keep clean sheets—failing to do so in six consecutive games—adds to the concerns ahead of facing the league’s most prolific attack.

Historically, Leipzig have struggled against Bayern, particularly at home. They’ve failed to win any of their last five Bundesliga meetings at the Red Bull Arena against the reigning champions. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a dominant 5-1 win for Bayern, showcasing the gulf in quality between the two sides.

Despite Leipzig’s impressive home form—a six-game winning streak in the league—the momentum lies firmly with Bayern. Eleven of Bayern’s last 13 matches have featured over 2.5 goals, indicating the likelihood of another high-scoring affair. If Kompany's side can continue their recent dominance, they could well seal the title in style, silencing their critics and confirming their return to the top of German football. Our prediction for Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich: Bayern Munich to win.

Prediction:

 

Half Time: Draw, Full Time: Bayern Munich

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Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Picks
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