Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Tyler Doty in Bundesliga Picks
It's an early Christmas present in the Bundesliga! On Saturday, the Red Bull Arena will host a clash between Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen. The second-placed team in the league will host the fourth-placed team in a duel where the home side will aim to consolidate their position on the podium, while the visitors will try to close the gap between them and BVB and their opponents on the day.
After a third defeat this season at Union Berlin (3-1), Leipzig will want to capitalize on their excellent home form to get back on track quickly. For their part, Bayer Leverkusen, led by Kasper Hjulmand, are back in force after a clear win against Cologne (2-0).
Two teams in fine form, a Red Bull Arena decked out for the occasion, football that promises to be spectacular, and a scenario that could shake up the top of the table. A magical duel to watch from 6:30 p.m., in which Leipzig hopes to give its fans one last gift before the break.
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Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
29 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
|
4
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 12, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Nov 28, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Nov 23, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025 - Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2025 - Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 12, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 28, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2025 - Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 13, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 13, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2025 - Bundesliga
Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal
Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 22, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2024 - Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2024 - Bundesliga
Aug 19, 2023 - Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2023 - Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2022 - Bundesliga
Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
Setback for Leipzig! On the last day of the season, Ole Werner's men stumbled in Berlin (3-1). Against Union Berlin, only Gomis found the net after an hour of play, which was not enough to counter Berlin's three goals (Burke 57', Ansah 63', Skarke 90+3'). The defeat prevented Leipzig from pulling away from BVB, Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, but it does not call into question their superb first half of the season.
On the contrary, Leipzig remain solid at the top! They are second in the league, with only three defeats after 14 games, nine wins and two draws. Above all, the club has a perfect home record with 6 wins in 6 games, 18 goals scored (3 per game) and only 3 conceded (0.5 goals per game). An imposing force in front of their fans, and a clear signal to the competition: Leipzig intends to end the first half of the season as it began, in style, with a victory!
Impeccable at home, Leipzig will be looking to get back on track after their defeat at Union Berlin.
Opposite them, Bayer Leverkusen bounced back after a clean sheet victory against Cologne (2-0). Lacking inspiration in the first half, Hjulmand brought on Martin Terrier, and less than five minutes later, the Frenchman scored with a sublime scorpion kick. A few minutes later, Andrich sealed the score and earned his team three precious points.
This victory allows Leverkusen to bounce back after two consecutive defeats against Dortmund (1-2) and Augsburg (2-0) and remain in the top five, just three points behind BVB and Leipzig. Away from home, however, the record is more mixed, with three wins, one draw, and two defeats, including losses to Bayern Munich and Augsburg in their last three away games. This statistic could weigh heavily on Saturday against a Leipzig side on fire in front of their home crowd!
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Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
B. Henrichs
MidfielderV. Gebel
K. Kampl
A. Ouedraogo
R. Baku
ForwardA. Nusa
J. Quansah
Leipzig & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
On the Leipzig side, Ole Werner once again has to contend with a depleted squad. These absences are long-term, as are those of Henrichs, Baku, Ouedraogo, and Romulo Cardoso, who are still unavailable. Added to this is Nusa's ankle injury, which rules him out of this clash, as well as the departure of Diomande, who has been called up to play for Ivory Coast in the Africa Cup of Nations. All these absences could logically weigh on the team's attacking play...
But despite these absences, Leipzig will field a competitive starting eleven. In goal, Gulacsi should retain his place. In defense, Ole Werner could field a well-established quartet of Raum, Orban, Lukeba, and Nedeljkovic. In midfield, stability should be the order of the day with the trio of Seiwald, Schlager, and Baumgartner. Finally, in attack, in the absence of Diomande, Romulo Cardoso, and Nusa, the trio of Harder, Bakayoko, and Gomis should be favored to lead the home side's offense.
With the start of the Africa Cup of Nations in Morocco, this Bundesliga clash will be played in a context of reduced squads on both sides.
Bayer Leverkusen has not been spared absences either. Kofane, Maza, and Tapsoba have joined their national teams for the Africa Cup of Nations, while Palacios (groin injury) and Quansah (suspension for accumulated yellow cards) will also be missing. Kasper Hjulmand will also have to monitor the fitness of several key attacking players, starting with Schick (5 goals) and Poku (4 goals), who are doubtful for this match.
Flekken is expected to start in goal. In defense, with Tapsoba out, solutions will have to be found, with Andrich, Badé, and Arthur likely to form the back three. In midfield, Garcia, Grimaldo, and Tillman could be selected. After scoring a spectacular scorpion kick against Cologne, a favorite for goal of the season, Martin Terrier is knocking on the door of the starting eleven. He could partner Hofmann if Schick and Poku are unavailable, while Tella could also play a key role in this formation.
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
C. Baumgartner
(10 Goals)
A. Grimaldo
(9 Goals)
C. Baumgartner
(3 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Nusa
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Ouedraogo
(3 Assists)
, 
Romulo
(3 Assists)
,
D. Raum
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Harder
(3 Assists)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
,
A. Grimaldo
(5 Assists)
Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Bundesliga
Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Leipzig has won all of its Bundesliga home games (6 games, 6 wins).
- Bayer Leverkusen has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses away from home in the league.
- Leipzig has the best home defense in the league, conceding an average of 0.5 goals per game in front of their home crowd.
- Between departures for the Africa Cup of Nations and uncertainties, Bayer Leverkusen will be more affected by absences than its opponent.
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Our Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Imperious at the Red Bull Arena since the start of the season, solid in defense and clinical in the final third in front of their home crowd, Leipzig have every reason to believe they can avoid defeat in this clash.
Despite their recent setback in Berlin, Ole Werner's men remain a force to be reckoned with at home. Opposite them, Bayer Leverkusen are weakened, penalized by departures for the Africa Cup of Nations and several uncertainties in key areas. Leipzig seem capable of controlling the game and showing their consistency!
Our prediction for Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen: Leipzig and Draw & over 1.5 goals!
Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Picks
Leipzig Victory
Christoph Baumgartner Anytime Goalscorer
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