Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Leipzig
12/20/25 12:30
Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction:

 

Leipzig or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-180
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Tyler Doty | in Bundesliga Picks

It's an early Christmas present in the Bundesliga! On Saturday, the Red Bull Arena will host a clash between Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen. The second-placed team in the league will host the fourth-placed team in a duel where the home side will aim to consolidate their position on the podium, while the visitors will try to close the gap between them and BVB and their opponents on the day.

After a third defeat this season at Union Berlin (3-1), Leipzig will want to capitalize on their excellent home form to get back on track quickly. For their part, Bayer Leverkusen, led by Kasper Hjulmand, are back in force after a clear win against Cologne (2-0).

Two teams in fine form, a Red Bull Arena decked out for the occasion, football that promises to be spectacular, and a scenario that could shake up the top of the table. A magical duel to watch from 6:30 p.m., in which Leipzig hopes to give its fans one last gift before the break.

Up to $350 to bet on Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Leipzig
65 34 20 5 9 +19
6 Bayer Leverkusen
59 34 17 8 9 +21

Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen Latest Matches

Leipzig
Leipzig Latest matches
L W D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Leipzig

Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
3 :  1
Magdeburg

Nov 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Leipzig

Nov 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Werder Bremen

Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
3 :  1
Leipzig
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
3 :  1
Magdeburg

Nov 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Werder Bremen

Nov 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Stuttgart

Oct 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Hamburg

Sep 20, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Köln
D W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Leipzig

Nov 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Leipzig

Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
3 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 28, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Energie Cottbus
1 :  4
Leipzig

Oct 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  6
Leipzig

Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Latest matches
W L W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 13, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Köln

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 13, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Köln

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Newcastle

Nov 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
6 :  0
Heidenheim

Oct 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Freiburg

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  7
PSG
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Dec 2, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Leipzig against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)

Leipzig

33 %

Draw

17 %

Bayer Leverkusen

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Aug 31, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  3
Leipzig

Jan 20, 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Aug 19, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  2
Leipzig

Apr 23, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

Oct 29, 2022 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis

Setback for Leipzig! On the last day of the season, Ole Werner's men stumbled in Berlin (3-1). Against Union Berlin, only Gomis found the net after an hour of play, which was not enough to counter Berlin's three goals (Burke 57', Ansah 63', Skarke 90+3'). The defeat prevented Leipzig from pulling away from BVB, Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, but it does not call into question their superb first half of the season.

On the contrary, Leipzig remain solid at the top! They are second in the league, with only three defeats after 14 games, nine wins and two draws. Above all, the club has a perfect home record with 6 wins in 6 games, 18 goals scored (3 per game) and only 3 conceded (0.5 goals per game). An imposing force in front of their fans, and a clear signal to the competition: Leipzig intends to end the first half of the season as it began, in style, with a victory!

Impeccable at home, Leipzig will be looking to get back on track after their defeat at Union Berlin.

Opposite them, Bayer Leverkusen bounced back after a clean sheet victory against Cologne (2-0). Lacking inspiration in the first half, Hjulmand brought on Martin Terrier, and less than five minutes later, the Frenchman scored with a sublime scorpion kick. A few minutes later, Andrich sealed the score and earned his team three precious points.

This victory allows Leverkusen to bounce back after two consecutive defeats against Dortmund (1-2) and Augsburg (2-0) and remain in the top five, just three points behind BVB and Leipzig. Away from home, however, the record is more mixed, with three wins, one draw, and two defeats, including losses to Bayern Munich and Augsburg in their last three away games. This statistic could weigh heavily on Saturday against a Leipzig side on fire in front of their home crowd!

Up to $350 to bet on Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Leipzig against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11

Leipzig

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
P. Gulacsi
19
K. Nedeljkovic
4
W. Orban
23
C. Lukeba
22
D. Raum
14
C. Baumgartner
13
N. Seiwald
24
X. Schlager
27
T. Gomis
40
Romulo
11
C. Harder
14
P. Schick
7
J. Hofmann
11
M. Terrier
23
N. Tella
10
M. Tillman
24
A. Garcia
13
Arthur
6
J. Belocian
5
L. Bade
8
R. Andrich
1
M. Flekken

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

Substitutes

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

M. Vandevoordt

Defender

E. Bitshiabu

N. Seiwald 89'

M. Finkgrafe

L. Klostermann

S. Konate

Midfielder

B. Kaltefleiter

R. Baku

K. Nedeljkovic 70'

A. Maksimovic

Romulo 70'

Forward

T. Werner

T. Gomis 79'

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Goalkeeper

J. Blaswich

N. Lomb

Defender

L. Vazquez

Arthur 83'

Midfielder

E. Fernandez

J. Hofmann 57'

A. Tape

N. Tella 76'

J. Mensah

Forward

M. Culbreath

M. Terrier 77'

A. Sarco

C. Kofane

P. Schick 77'

Missing players

Leipzig
Leipzig
Defender

B. Henrichs

Midfielder

A. Ouedraogo

V. Gebel

Forward

A. Nusa

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Defender

J. Quansah

Leipzig & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis

On the Leipzig side, Ole Werner once again has to contend with a depleted squad. These absences are long-term, as are those of Henrichs, Baku, Ouedraogo, and Romulo Cardoso, who are still unavailable. Added to this is Nusa's ankle injury, which rules him out of this clash, as well as the departure of Diomande, who has been called up to play for Ivory Coast in the Africa Cup of Nations. All these absences could logically weigh on the team's attacking play...

But despite these absences, Leipzig will field a competitive starting eleven. In goal, Gulacsi should retain his place. In defense, Ole Werner could field a well-established quartet of Raum, Orban, Lukeba, and Nedeljkovic. In midfield, stability should be the order of the day with the trio of Seiwald, Schlager, and Baumgartner. Finally, in attack, in the absence of Diomande, Romulo Cardoso, and Nusa, the trio of Harder, Bakayoko, and Gomis should be favored to lead the home side's offense.

With the start of the Africa Cup of Nations in Morocco, this Bundesliga clash will be played in a context of reduced squads on both sides.

Bayer Leverkusen has not been spared absences either. Kofane, Maza, and Tapsoba have joined their national teams for the Africa Cup of Nations, while Palacios (groin injury) and Quansah (suspension for accumulated yellow cards) will also be missing. Kasper Hjulmand will also have to monitor the fitness of several key attacking players, starting with Schick (5 goals) and Poku (4 goals), who are doubtful for this match.

Flekken is expected to start in goal. In defense, with Tapsoba out, solutions will have to be found, with Andrich, Badé, and Arthur likely to form the back three. In midfield, Garcia, Grimaldo, and Tillman could be selected. After scoring a spectacular scorpion kick against Cologne, a favorite for goal of the season, Martin Terrier is knocking on the door of the starting eleven. He could partner Hofmann if Schick and Poku are unavailable, while Tella could also play a key role in this formation.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leipzig
CD Huachipato Bayer Leverkusen
Top Goalscorer
Austria C. Baumgartner (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Czech Republic P. Schick (16 Goals)
Best assists
Germany D. Raum (7 Assists)
Ivory Coast Y. Diomande (7 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (8 Assists)

Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points

  1. Leipzig has won all of its Bundesliga home games (6 games, 6 wins).
  2. Bayer Leverkusen has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses away from home in the league.
  3. Leipzig has the best home defense in the league, conceding an average of 0.5 goals per game in front of their home crowd.
  4. Between departures for the Africa Cup of Nations and uncertainties, Bayer Leverkusen will be more affected by absences than its opponent.
Up to $350 to bet on Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Imperious at the Red Bull Arena since the start of the season, solid in defense and clinical in the final third in front of their home crowd, Leipzig have every reason to believe they can avoid defeat in this clash.

Despite their recent setback in Berlin, Ole Werner's men remain a force to be reckoned with at home. Opposite them, Bayer Leverkusen are weakened, penalized by departures for the Africa Cup of Nations and several uncertainties in key areas. Leipzig seem capable of controlling the game and showing their consistency!

Our prediction for Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen: Leipzig and Draw & over 1.5 goals!

Prediction:

 

Leipzig or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-180
$350 offered for betting!

Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Picks

Leipzig Victory

Odds +115
With six wins in six games, Leipzig has turned the Red Bull Arena into a veritable fortress. Ole Werner's men have the perfect opportunity to end the year with another victory and secure their second place in the standings. Momentum and home advantage are on their side!
$350 offered for betting!

Christoph Baumgartner Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +200
Already Leipzig's top scorer (6 goals) and top assist provider (6 assists) this season, the Austrian has established himself as his team's offensive metronome. And with Diomande, Romulo Cardoso, and Nusa all out, Baumgartner could see his influence grow even further in the final third. Playing in the heart of the game, he can still make a difference and get his name on the scoresheet again!
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Picks