Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
2/28/26 12:30
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-143
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Satuday's fifth and final EPL kick-off sees Man City travel to take on Leeds at what should be a typically bouncing Elland Road. Fresh from their away-day success against Aston Villa, the hosts will be looking to cause another upset, and after they very nearly held the Citizens to a tie earlier in the season, Daniel Farke's men may just fancy themselves to get the job done. It wasn't that long ago that the recent Championship graduates looked like a team heading back down to the second division, but it's fair to say that 2026 has so far been very positive. 

By their own standard, the Citizens haven't done so well this season, let's be honest. Of course, they are second in the table, but they're five points behind in the race for the title, which isn't ideal as we head into March. However, Guardiola's men have found some consistency in recent weeks, winnign five on the spin in all competitions, and if they can continue to win with regularity, then there's no reason why they cannot chase the Gunners all the way to the end. 

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Leeds vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Manchester City
78 38 23 9 6 +42
14 Leeds
47 38 11 14 13 -7

Leeds and Manchester City Latest Matches

Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
D L W D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Leeds

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Leeds

Feb 6, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Arsenal

Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds
D W D W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 6, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Arsenal

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Fulham

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool
L W D D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Leeds

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Leeds

Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Leeds
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Salford City

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Fulham

Feb 8, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester City

Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester City
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Salford City

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Fulham

Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Galatasaray

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Wolves
D W L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester City

Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Manchester City

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Manchester City

Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

Leeds against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

17 %

Draw

0 %

Manchester City

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
3.33
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

May 6, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Leeds

Dec 28, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  3
Manchester City

Apr 30, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Manchester City

Dec 14, 2021 - Premier League

Manchester City
7 :  0
Leeds

Apr 10, 2021 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Leeds

Leeds against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11

Leeds

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

26
K. Darlow
2
J. Bogle
24
J. Justin
6
J. Rodon
5
P. Struijk
3
G. Gudmundsson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
44
I. Gruev
11
B. Aaronson
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
7
O. Marmoush
42
A. Semenyo
33
N. O'Reilly
20
B. Silva
10
R. Cherki
16
Rodri
21
R. Ait-Nouri
15
M. Guehi
3
R. Dias
27
M. Nunes
25
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2

Manchester City

Substitutes

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

L. Perri

Defender

J. Bijol

J. Rodon 87'

S. Bornauw

Midfielder

S. Longstaff

A. Tanaka

Forward

J. Piroe

J. Justin 87'

G. Wilfried

I. Gruev 75'

L. Nmecha

B. Aaronson 65'

D. James

J. Bogle 76'

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

Defender

A. Khusanov

N. Ake

R. Cherki 88'

J. Stones

Midfielder

T. Reijnders

N. O'Reilly 70'

N. Gonzalez

Savinho

O. Marmoush 68'

P. Foden

Forward

J. Doku

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Forward

N. Okafor

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

J. Gvardiol

Midfielder

M. Kovacic

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (27 Goals)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (5 Assists)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (12 Assists)

Leeds - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in no fewer than nine of Leeds' last 11 EPL home games.
  2. Both teams found the net (twice) when the teams met earlier in the campaign.
  3. Both teams have scored in each of Man City's last four away games in all competitions.
  4. Both teams have scored in each of Leeds' two recent games against top-five opponents.
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Our Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction

Since the turn of the year, or even slightly before, Daniel Farke's men have shown themselves to be very strong on the break in games of this nature, while they're also very useful from crosses and set pieces, so we should expect the hosts to do some damage here, especially as the Citizens have been anything but sturdy away from home, conceding in each of their last four road games in all competitions. 

When the pair met in the season, they shared five goals, while we also shouldn't ignore the fact that both teams have scored in each of Leeds' last four games in all competitions, as well as in nine of their last 11 at home. 

All things considered, I'd have 'Both Teams to Score' closer to -160, so if we can get -143, which we can at the time of writing, we're getting some all-important value. 

Our Leeds vs Man City Pick: Both Teams to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-143
$250 offered for betting!

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Leeds vs Manchester City Picks