Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
12/20/25 15:00
Crystal Palace

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-115
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

Finishing a busy day of EPL soccer on Saturday, we have two games kicking off at 15:00 EST, one of which is Leeds vs Crystal Palace. Back in late November, it looked as though Daniel Farke's men would be booked for little more than relegation but since then, the Whites have rallied, first beating Chelsea by three goals to one in front of a raucous home crowd, before holding Liverpool to a tie. Last time out, Saturday's hosts delivered another strong performance, tying with Brentford on the road, which was the least they deserved for their efforts. With those three results under the belt, the hosts should fancy themselves to do well against a Palace team that will be missing some key players. 

The visitors have tailed off a little in the last few weeks, first losing to Man City without really putting up a fight, while they struggled to show their superiority at home to Finnish opposition in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday night. Having had less time to prepare for this game than their hosts, without the likes of Daichi Kamada, Daniel Munoz and Ismaila Sarr, will the Eagles struggle to fly? 

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Leeds vs Crystal Palace Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
26 16 7 5 4 5
17
Leeds
Leeds
16 16 4 4 8 -10

Leeds and Crystal Palace Latest Matches

Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
L L L W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds
D L W L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace Latest matches
L W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 18, 2025 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
KuPS

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  3
Manchester City

Dec 11, 2025 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Dec 7, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Crystal Palace

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United
W W D L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 18, 2025 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
KuPS

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  3
Manchester City

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Brighton

Nov 6, 2025 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Brentford
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 11, 2025 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Dec 7, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Crystal Palace

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

Nov 27, 2025 - Conference League

Strasbourg
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Crystal Palace

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Leeds against Crystal Palace : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

33 %

Draw

17 %

Crystal Palace

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Apr 9, 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  5
Crystal Palace

Oct 9, 2022 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Leeds

Apr 25, 2022 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Leeds

Nov 30, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

Feb 8, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  0
Crystal Palace

Nov 7, 2020 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  1
Leeds

Crystal Palace v Leeds last Lineups

Leeds

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
L. Perri
6
J. Rodon
15
J. Bijol
5
P. Struijk
2
J. Bogle
22
A. Tanaka
4
E. Ampadu
18
A. Stach
3
G. Gudmundsson
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
19
N. Okafor
86
J. Drakes-Thomas
12
C. Uche
21
R. Esse
72
D. Benamar
42
K. Rodney
55
J. Devenny
24
B. Sosa
23
J. Canvot
8
J. Lerma
60
G. King
44
W. Benitez

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Crystal Palace

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Midfielder

S. Longstaff

Forward

D. James

L. Nmecha

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Defender

C. Riad

C. Kporha

D. Munoz

Midfielder

C. Doucoure

D. Kamada

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Crystal Palace
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France J. Mateta (7 Goals) Senegal I. Sarr (7 Goals)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (2 Assists)
England S. Longstaff (2 Assists)
England J. Bogle (2 Assists)
Germany A. Stach (2 Assists)
Best assists
France J. Mateta (3 Assists)
Spain Y. Pino (3 Assists)
England M. Guehi (3 Assists)
France M. Lacroix (3 Assists)
Colombia D. Munoz (3 Assists)

Leeds and Crystal Palace Stats in Premier League

Leeds
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
25%
Victories
44%
25%
Draw
31%
50%
Defeats
25%
3.13
Total goals per match
2.19
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.25
1.88
Goals conceded per match
0.94
69%
Over 2.5
50%
31%
Under 2.5
50%
63%
BTTS
44%
13%
No goals conceded
44%

Leeds - Crystal Palace Key Points

  1. Both teams have found the net in each of Leeds' last six EPL home games.
  2. Both teams have also found the net in seven of Leeds' last eight EPL games overall (home and away).
  3. The hosts haven't failed to score at home since August, while the visitors haven't failed to score away since October.
  4. Leeds rank in the top half for xG created this season, but in the bottom half for xG conceded.
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Our Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prediction

For my money, this game is more of a 'Both Teams to Score' candidate than the early betting market may have us believe. Of course, odds of -115 (at the time of writing) are far from huge, but when we take everything into account, they could easily be shorter, let's be honest.

For starters, the hosts have made a serious habit of both creating and conceding chances in recent games, scoring and conceding in each of their last six. At Elland Road, they've scored in seven out of eight this season. Similarly, the Eagles have scored in ten of their last 11 away games (in all competitions). Sure, they are missing a key offensive player right now, but that hasn't stopped them scoring in recent weeks, while they're up against a Leeds team that is without a clean sheet at home since August. 

Taking everything into account, I'd have 'Both Teams to Score' at -125, so -115 is worth taking. 

Our Leeds vs Crystal Palace Pick: Both Teams to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-115
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Leeds vs Crystal Palace Picks