Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
12/3/25 15:15
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Estevao to Score

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

Following what was a agonozing defeat at Etihad Stadium on Saturday, Daniel Farke's men return to Elland Road on Wednesday evening, when they'll take on a Blues team that comes off the back of a hard-fought point against the league leaders. Despite being two goals down early on, it looked for all to see that Leeds had rescued the unlikeliest of points against Man City at the weekend, thanks second-half goals from Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lucas Nmecha. However, in stoppage time, Phil Foden has other ideas, firing the Whites to fourth straight defeat. 

For Chelsea, the winning run came to an end at the weekend, but their tie against the Gunners was far from a poor result, especially as they found themselves playing with ten men for just over half the contest. Enzo Maresca's men have now gone seven games without tasting defeat in all competitions, and they'll surely fancy themselves to get the better of one of the chief relegation candidates. 

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Leeds vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Chelsea
Chelsea
24 13 7 3 3 12
18
Leeds
Leeds
11 13 3 2 8 -12

Leeds and Chelsea Latest Matches

Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds
W D D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 18, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  4
Chelsea

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
Chelsea

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea

Leeds against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

17 %

Draw

17 %

Chelsea

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
3 :  2
Leeds

Mar 4, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

Aug 21, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  0
Chelsea

May 11, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  3
Chelsea

Dec 11, 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Leeds

Mar 13, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Chelsea
Compare two teams (100+ stats)

Chelsea v Leeds last Lineups

Leeds

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Perri
2
J. Bogle
6
J. Rodon
5
P. Struijk
24
J. Justin
22
A. Tanaka
4
E. Ampadu
44
I. Gruev
7
D. James
14
L. Nmecha
29
G. Wilfried
20
Joao Pedro
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
41
Estevao
25
M. Caicedo
24
R. James
3
M. Cucurella
23
T. Chalobah
29
W. Fofana
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Defender

S. Bornauw

J. Justin

Midfielder

A. Stach

S. Longstaff

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

Midfielder

D. Essugo

R. Lavia

M. Caicedo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Germany L. Nmecha (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Estevao (5 Goals) Argentina E. Fernandez (5 Goals)
Best assists
England S. Longstaff (2 Assists)
Best assists
England R. James (8 Assists)

Leeds and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Leeds
Leeds
Chelsea
Chelsea
23%
Victories
54%
15%
Draw
23%
62%
Defeats
23%
2.92
Total goals per match
2.77
1
Goals scored per match
1.85
1.92
Goals conceded per match
0.92
69%
Over 2.5
62%
31%
Under 2.5
38%
54%
BTTS
54%
15%
No goals conceded
46%

Leeds - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Estevao is Chelsea's best regular player in terms of shots per 90 minutes this season.
  2. In the EPL this season, Estevao is averaging 3.02 shots per 90 minutes.
  3. Estevao also averages 0.94 shots on target per 90 minutes in the EPL this season.
  4. Estevao has scored three goals in his last four appearances for club and country.
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Our Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction

Thanks to a Caicedo's first-half red card at the weekend, Estevao was sacrificied as a half-time substitute, but before that the young Brazilian was looking dangerous, firing off two shots against a decent Arsenal defense. Prior to that, Estevao scored in three games on the spin for club and country, showing just how useful him can be in the final third. 

Chelsea's best regular player this term in terms of shots per 90 minutes, the teenager looks hungry for goals, while he's not exactly struggling to come by decent chances, averaging 0.43 xG per 90 minutes. He looks a little leniently priced to score against a weak Leeds rearguard. 

Our Leeds vs Chelsea Pick: Estevao to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Estevao to Score

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