Leeds vs Brentford Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
3/21/26 16:00
Brentford

Prediction:

 

Leeds to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

The late Premier League slot on Saturday is occupied by Leeds welcoming Brentford to Elland Road in West Yorkshire. 

The Whites have not won a league meeting in over a month. In this time, they've faced some difficult opponents, though their last two tasks have been more attainable, and in truth, they were unlucky with the results (0-1, 0-0). The latter, last time out against Crystal Palace, included a missed penalty by Calvert-Lewin, but it must be said they did very well to hold onto a tie considering one of their pack received a second yellow in the first half. 

Brentford haven’t exactly been flawless in recent games in spite of their 7th-place ranking, not looking too sturdy last time out against basement-boys Wolves, whilst conceding multiple goals in four out of their last five, consequently only claiming one win (two competitions).

Currently, Leeds are only three points above the drop, although they have two teams cushioning them, in contrast Brentford are only four points off from the top five, which is their best season yet.

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Leeds vs Brentford Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Brentford
53 38 14 11 13 +3
14 Leeds
47 38 11 14 13 -7

Leeds and Brentford Latest Matches

Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
D D L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Leeds

Mar 8, 2026 - FA Cup

Leeds
3 :  0
Norwich

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Leeds

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2026 - FA Cup

Leeds
3 :  0
Norwich

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Manchester City

Feb 6, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Arsenal

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Fulham
W D D D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Leeds

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Leeds

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Leeds

Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds
Brentford
Brentford Latest matches
W L W D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Wolves

Mar 9, 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  2
Brentford

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Brentford

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  4
Brentford

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton

Feb 16, 2026 - FA Cup

Macclesfield FC
0 :  1
Brentford
D W L D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Wolves

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton

Feb 12, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Arsenal

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Sunderland

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Tottenham
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  2
Brentford

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Brentford

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  4
Brentford

Feb 16, 2026 - FA Cup

Macclesfield FC
0 :  1
Brentford

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford

Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Brentford

Leeds against Brentford : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

17 %

Draw

67 %

Brentford

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Jan 22, 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Brentford

Sep 3, 2022 - Premier League

Brentford
5 :  2
Leeds

May 22, 2022 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  2
Leeds

Dec 5, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Brentford

Feb 11, 2020 - Championship

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Leeds against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11

Leeds

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

26
K. Darlow
6
J. Rodon
15
J. Bijol
5
P. Struijk
24
J. Justin
4
E. Ampadu
18
A. Stach
2
J. Bogle
11
B. Aaronson
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
14
L. Nmecha
7
K. Schade
9
I. Thiago
18
Y. Yarmoliuk
23
K. Lewis-Potter
6
J. Henderson
8
M. Jensen
33
M. Kayode
22
N. Collins
5
E. Pinnock
4
S. Van den Berg
1
C. Kelleher

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Brentford

Substitutes

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

L. Perri

Defender

S. Bornauw

Midfielder

I. Gruev

S. Longstaff

A. Tanaka

B. Aaronson 69'

Forward

J. Piroe

G. Wilfried

N. Okafor

L. Nmecha 69'

D. James

P. Struijk 83'

Brentford
Brentford
Goalkeeper

H. Valdimarsson

Defender

J. Stephenson

Midfielder

C. McManus

R. Donovan

L. Bentt

Forward

D. Ouattara

K. Schade 77'

K. Furo

O. Shield

R. Nelson

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Brentford
Brentford
Defender

R. Henry

A. Hickey

Midfielder

J. Da Silva

V. Janelt

F. Carvalho

A. Milambo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Brentford
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Thiago (22 Goals)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (5 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark M. Damsgaard (4 Assists)
Germany V. Janelt (4 Assists)

Leeds - Brentford Key Points

  1. Leeds created an xG of 1.51 away from home, scoring one, in the reverse fixture.
  2. Brentford have allowed multiple goals in four out of their last five (all competitions).
  3. Leeds scored three goals in their most recent home game (FA Cup).
  4. In ten most similar away games, Brentford have shipped multiple goals in seven.
  5. Leeds are averaging an xG of 1.99 per game in their most relevant home matches.
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Our Leeds vs Brentford Prediction

Yes, Leeds have failed to score in each of their last three EPL games, but all three have been up against teams with a more defensive approach. They should have an easier time up against a side conceding more goals. 

Specifically when hosting teams most relevant to The Bees, Leeds have netted in eight out of nine, with multiple goals in four. Whilst this doesn’t sound extremely high, The Whites have consistently created lots of chances in these games - averaging a very tasty 1.99 xG per game - suggesting they could have easily scored a few more. 

Andrews’ squad have conceded in seven out of ten away games most similar to this type, but when they have conceded it has come in multiple quantities, regularly giving away lots of opportunities. In view of all of this, I think taking the hosts to score two or more goals is a good bet.

Our Leeds vs Brentford Pick: Leeds to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Leeds to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leeds vs Brentford Picks