ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Learner Tien of the United States and Daniil Medvedev of Russia meet for the second time in two weeks on Wednesday, contesting for a spot in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
Tien, who boasts a 2-0 head-to-head record against Medvedev, is once again the underdog at +245 ($345 payout for a $100 bet on DraftKings).
Current Form:
Tien is on the brink of achieving another milestone, a first ATP 1000 quarterfinals appearance, if he can overcome former world’s No.1 Daniil Medvedev for the third time this year. 7-1 in his last 8 matches, Tien booked his place in the round of 16 with a clinical win over Cameron Norrie of Great Britain 7-6, 6-3. Tien managed to concede only two service breaks after winning 73 percent of his first serves on top of 4 breakpoint conversions.
Medvedev has been steadily building steam over the past two weeks, starting to look like a top-caliber player again after going through a tough year on the tour. The Russian secured his spot in the round-of-16 with a 6-3, 7-6 sweep of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina of Spain. Medvedev is 5-1 in his last 6 matches.
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Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Learner Tien and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Learner Tien against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Jan 16, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3, 7-6 in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Daniil Medvedev is 5-1 in his last 6 matches.
- Learner Tien defeated Cameron Norrie 7-6, 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Learner Tien is 2-0 vs. Daniil Medvdev in their head-to-head series.
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Our Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Learner Tien will try to score his third win over Daniil Medvedev in Wednesday’s fourth-round clash in Shanghai. The American rising star is silently putting up a terrific campaign in his first full year on the ATP Tour. Aside from reaching his first ATP Final in Beijing, Tien has compiled a 23-20 record against the ATP top 100 and a 5-3 slate against the ATP top 10 in 2025. Medvedev’s 18-11 record on the hard court might be underwhelming by his standard but he’s a solid 18-8 against the ATP top-50 this year.
Fearless Forecast: Expect Daniil Medvedev to come out of the gates like a house on fire against Tien, eager to avenge his two previous losses to the American. However, I believe Tien has the right tools and mental strength beyond his years to foil Medvdev once again. I have Tien pulling off a come-from-behind victory 2-6, 7-6, 7-6.
Our betting prediction for Learner Tien vs. Daniil Medvedev: Learner Tien will win.
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