Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
2/14/26 12:00
Atalanta

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals to hit.

-135
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Serie A Picks

Lazio and Atalanta will square off in the Italian Serie A on Saturday night at Stadio Olimpico. Both teams sit in the top half of the table as they look to increase their chances of a Top 4 finish. Lazio are eighth in the standings with 33 points, and have avoided defeat in the last three league games. They’re coming off an impressive 2-2 draw against Juventus on the road, a game they could’ve won if not for a stoppage-time goal for the hosts. Lazio certainly looks good this season.

Atalanta, on the other side, is seventh in the standings with 39 points, just 2 points behind the sixth-placed Como. They picked up a comfortable 2-1 win at home against Cremonese on Monday, with the visitors getting a late goal through Morten Thorsby. This result means that Atalanta hasn’t tasted defeat in their last eight matches. That makes it nine if you add in their 3-0 demolition of Juventus last week in the Coppa Italia.

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Lazio vs Atalanta Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1

Lazio and Atalanta Latest Matches

Lazio
Lazio Latest matches
W L D W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 11, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

Feb 8, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

Jan 19, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio
D D L D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 19, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

Dec 20, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Cremonese

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna
W D W D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Feb 11, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

Feb 8, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio

Dec 27, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio

Dec 13, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio
Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
L W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cremonese

Feb 5, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
3 :  0
Juventus

Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Atalanta

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Atalanta

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cremonese

Feb 5, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
3 :  0
Juventus

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Torino FC

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma
L W W D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Atalanta

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Atalanta

Jan 16, 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

Lazio against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

33 %

Draw

33 %

Atalanta

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Lazio

Dec 28, 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Atalanta

Feb 4, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Lazio

Oct 8, 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Atalanta

Feb 11, 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

Lazio against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

94
I. Provedel
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
25
O. Provstgaard
17
N. Tavares
24
K. Taylor
32
D. Cataldi
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
18
G. Isaksen
27
D. Maldini
14
T. Noslin
90
N. Krstovic
47
L. Bernasconi
10
L. Samardzic
59
N. Zalewski
13
Ederson
15
M. De Roon
77
D. Zappacosta
69
H. Ahanor
19
B. Djimsiti
42
G. Scalvini
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

A. Furlanetto

E. Motta

Defender

L. Pellegrini

E. Hysaj

Patric

M. Gila 46'

Midfielder

V. Farcomeni

A. Przyborek

N. Rovella

D. Cataldi 67'

R. Belahyane

Forward

M. Cancellieri

K. Taylor 79'

P. Ratkov

T. Noslin 67'

B. Dia

G. Isaksen 88'

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

F. Rossi

M. Sportiello

Defender

R. Bellanova

D. Zappacosta 83'

M. Bakker

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

G. Scalvini 46'

S. Kolasinac

H. Ahanor 25'

Midfielder

Y. Musah

M. Pasalic

Forward

K. Sulemana

N. Zalewski 70'

G. Raspadori

L. Samardzic 46'

G. Scamacca

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

A. Romagnoli

S. Gigot

Midfielder

T. Basic

Atalanta
Atalanta
Forward

C. De Ketelaere

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals) , 
Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals) ,  Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists) , 
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists) , 
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists) , 
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)

Lazio - Atalanta Key Points

  1. The total goals went under 2.5 in the last five Atalanta matches.
  2. The total goals went under 2.5 in six of the last eight Lazio vs Atalanta matches.
  3. Both teams did not score in three of the last four Atalanta matches.
  4. Both teams did not score in the last two Atalanta vs Lazio matches.
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Our Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction

We expect a cagey matchup between two defensively sound teams. Atalanta has conceded just 21 goals in the league, whereas Lazio has given up 23 goals. However, Atalanta has a slightly better attack, scoring 32 league goals, whereas Lazio has scored 26. It’s unsurprising that they’re the +125 betting favorites this weekend. However, we’re rooting for Lazio to cause an upset given their impressive recent form and home advantage. They’ve lost only twice in the last 12 matches. Lazio also posted a win or a draw in eight of their previous 10 games against Atalanta. We’re backing them to get a sweet 1-0 win at home.

Our prediction for Lazio vs Atalanta: Under 2.5 goals to hit.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals to hit.

-135
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs Atalanta Picks