ATP - ATP Italian Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
The 2025 Italian Open kicks off its round of 16 schedule with Carlos Alcaraz looking to punch his ticket to the quarterfinal round against Karen Khachanov of Russia on Tuesday.
Alcaraz has eliminated a pair of Serbian campaigners, Dusan Lajovic 6-3 6-3 and Laslo Djere 7-6(2) 6-2, to reach the fourth round in Rome for the first time. In his recent win over Djere, the Spaniard fended off a spirited challenge from Djere before hitting the gas pedal in the second set. Alcaraz is holding 84 per cent of his serves in the tourney and winning 70 per cent of his first serves.
Khachanov advanced to the fourth round with a breezy win over Italian bet Francesco Passaro 6-3 6-0. Khachanov, a semifinalist at the Barcelona Open three weeks ago, won 81 percent of his first serves and converted on all 6 breakpoint opportunities.
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Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 19, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 20, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 19, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 17, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Karen Khachanov against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Sep 30, 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
May 3, 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
May 29, 2022 - ATP French Open
Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Carlos Alcaraz defeated Laslo Djere 7-6(2) 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Carlos Alcaraz is 11-1 on clay in 2025
- Karen Khachanov defeated Francesco Passaro 6-3, 6-0 in the third round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Karen Khachanov is 6-3 on clay in 2025.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Karen Khachanov covers +4.5 games in a loss to Carlos Alcaraz
I am taking a conservative bet on Karen Khachanov losing by at least 5 games to the modern King of Clay, Carlos Alcaraz. The Russian has lost all four head-to-head matches with Alcaraz, 3 of which on clay courts, but he did give the reigning French Open titlist a hard time in their last clay-court match in the third round of the 2023 Mutua Madrid Open, losing by a score 6-4 7-5. Alcaraz has dominated on his way to the fourth round, but Khachanov (59.7% win rate on clay) is better than those two Serbians. Our betting prediction for Karen Khachanov vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Karen Khachanov +4.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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