Qarabag FK vs Newcastle Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2/18/26 12:45
Newcastle

Prediction:

 

Newcastle to win and both teams to score

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 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

Newcastle United make the long trip to Azerbaijan this week, as they take on Qarabag in the first leg of their Champions League playoff tie.

It's been an inconsistent season so far for the Magpies, but back-to-back victories over Aston Villa and Spurs in the last week will have given Eddie Howe's side a huge confidence boost ahead of this crucial tie. If they can produce something close to their best on Wednesday night, they should have too much quality for a plucky but limited Qarabag outfit. 

Qarabag will be delighted to have made the playoff round, but unless they can fix their extremely leaky defence, which conceded a whopping 21 goals in the league phase of the competition, it is hard to see them progressing any further. The 6-0 defeat at Liverpool on Matchday Eight highlighted the huge gulf in class between the Azerbaijan champions and the top teams in Europe.

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Qarabag FK vs Newcastle Form

Qarabag FK and Newcastle Latest Matches

Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Imisli FK
0 :  1
Qarabag FK

Feb 10, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Inter
1 :  2
Qarabag FK

Feb 5, 2026 - Azerbaijan Cup

Inter
2 :  1
Qarabag FK

Feb 1, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
1 :  0
Turan Tovuz

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Qarabag FK

Jan 24, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
0 :  2
Kapaz
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
1 :  0
Turan Tovuz

Jan 24, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
0 :  2
Kapaz

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
3 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Dec 14, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
5 :  1
Araz Nakhchivan

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  4
Ajax

Dec 3, 2025 - Azerbaijan Cup

Qarabag FK
3 :  0
Karvan Yevlakh
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Imisli FK
0 :  1
Qarabag FK

Feb 10, 2026 - Topaz Premier League

Inter
1 :  2
Qarabag FK

Feb 5, 2026 - Azerbaijan Cup

Inter
2 :  1
Qarabag FK

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Qarabag FK

Jan 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Kghm Zaglebie Lubin
1 :  3
Qarabag FK

Dec 21, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Gabala
1 :  2
Qarabag FK
Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
D L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Newcastle

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford

Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Newcastle
W D L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
3 :  3
Bournemouth

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Leeds
D D L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Newcastle

Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  0
Newcastle

Qarabag FK against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

Qarabag FK

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

99
M. Kochalski
2
M. Silva
13
B. Mustafazada
81
K. Medina
44
E. Jafarguliyev
35
P. Bicalho
8
M. Jankovic
15
L. Andrade
9
J. Montiel
10
A. Zoubir
17
C. Duran
10
A. Gordon
11
H. Barnes
27
N. Woltemade
20
A. Elanga
28
J. Willock
8
S. Tonali
3
L. Hall
33
D. Burn
12
M. Thiaw
2
K. Trippier
1
N. Pope

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Newcastle

Substitutes

Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK
Goalkeeper

A. Ramazanov

F. Buntic

Defender

T. Bayramov

Daniel

B. Mustafazada 22'

S. Mmaee

A. Huseynov

B. Huseynov

L. Andrade 46'

Midfielder

H. Jabrayilzade

O. Kashchuk

Forward

M. Qurbanly

C. Duran 88'

E. Addai

A. Zoubir 85'

Kady

J. Montiel 85'

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

A. Ramsdale

A. Harris

J. Ruddy

Defender

A. Murphy

L. Shahar

Midfielder

J. Ramsey

J. Willock 68'

J. Murphy

A. Elanga 68'

Forward

W. Osula

A. Gordon 68'

S. Neave

H. Barnes 87'

Joelinton

K. Trippier 77'

Missing players

Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK
Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

F. Schar

E. Krafth

Midfielder

B. Guimaraes

L. Miley

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Qarabag FK
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Colombia C. Duran (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England A. Gordon (10 Goals)
Best assists
Azerbaijan E. Jafarguliyev (3 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (3 Assists) , 
England K. Trippier (3 Assists) , 
England H. Barnes (3 Assists)

Qarabag FK - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Qarabag have conceded 21 goals in their last 8 Champions League games
  2. Both teams have scored in Newcastle's last 6 games
  3. Newcastle have kept 1 clean sheet in their last 15 away matches
  4. Qarabag have kept 1 clean sheet in their last 11 Champions League matches
Up to $200 to bet on Qarabag FK - Newcastle! 

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Our Qarabag FK vs Newcastle Prediction

Whilst this is a daunting midweek trip for Newcastle, we think they will have enough quality to take a first leg lead back to St James' Park. 

Qarabag have done exceptionally well to get this far in the competition, but it is hard to see them being able to compete with a side containing the likes of Anthony Gordon, Sandro Tonali and Nick Woltemade.

That being said, Newcastle rarely keep clean sheets, so we really like the chance of both teams scoring on Wednesday night. 

Our prediction for Qarabag vs Newcastle United is: Newcastle to win and both teams to score.

Prediction:

 

Newcastle to win and both teams to score

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Qarabag FK vs Newcastle Picks