Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9/18/26 18:40
Kansas City Royals

Prediction:

 

Under 8.0 Runs

−105
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

A low-scoring affair is in sight as the Kansas City Royals and the Pittsburgh Pirates turn to their elite pitchers to open Game 1 of their series.

Current Form:

The Kansas City Royals have gone 1-4 in their last five games. Ranked dead last in the AL Central with a 67-86 record, the Royals have averaged 2.2 runs on a .156 clip and posted a 4.61 ERA.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are fighting to finish the season with a winning record. The Pirates have won 2 of their last 5 matches to improve their regular-season record to 76-77 with two weeks of baseball left in the regular-season schedule.

Starting Pitchers: Pirates RHP Paul Skenes (10-11, 3.78 ERA) vs. Royals RHP (3-4, 2.73 ERA)

The Matchup: The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 meetings.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.506 162 82 80
26 Kansas City Royals
0.426 162 69 93

Pittsburgh Pirates and Kansas City Royals Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
12 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  0
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  6
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  0
Los Angeles Angels
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
12 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 10, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
0 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 5, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  9
Toronto Blue Jays
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Pittsburgh Pirates against Kansas City Royals : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

25 %

Kansas City Royals

75 %

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
9 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 15, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Sep 13, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  8
Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates - Kansas City Royals Key Points

  1. Under is 5-0 in Dobnak’s last 5 starts as a road underdog.
  2. Under is 8-0-1 in the Royals’ last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  3. Under is 4-0-1 in the Pirates’ last 5 games as a favorite.
  4. Under is 4-0-1 in the Pirates’ last 5 games as a home favorite.

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

Key Stats: Randy Dobnak has posted a 4.23 ERA over his last five games. Paul Skenes has posted a 3.29 ERA over his last five mound appearances.

What to Expect: The starting pitchers will set the tone for this match. Dobnak and Skenes will deliver strong performances, keeping the scores close and low until the bullpens take over and seal the deal.

Fearless Forecast: The Royals 3, the Pirates 1

Our betting prediction for the Kansas City Royals vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates: Under 8 Runs

Prediction:

 

Under 8.0 Runs

−105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.