Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Cincinnati Reds (31-29, 16-15 Home) will try to make it two in a row today when they host the Kansas City Royals (23-38, 8-21 Away) in the third game of a three-game series. First Pitch at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH, is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EST.
It was all Kansas City in the first game on Monday as the Royals won easily, 9-2. But the Reds were able to get back on the right side of the scoreboard yesterday with a 4-3 victory in extra innings (F/10).
Cincinnati will give the ball to Chase Burns to start the day. Burns has gone 7-1 this season in 11 starts with a 1.96 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. He has gone 4-1 in six starts at home with a 2.10 ERA and a .190 OBA.
As for the Royals, Kansas City is scheduled to give Stephen Kolek the start. Kolek has gone 3-1 in five starts with a 3.48 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. While he has pitched well overall, he has gone 1-1 on the road in three starts with a 5.06 ERA and a .2354 OBA.
Neither pitcher has started against the other team before.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
0.517 | 60 | 31 | 29 |
|
28
|
0.377 | 61 | 23 | 38 |
Cincinnati Reds and Kansas City Royals Latest Matches
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2/6 (33%)
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Cincinnati Reds against Kansas City Royals : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
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Cincinnati Reds - Kansas City Royals Key Points
- The Royals are 23-19 against the Reds all-time.
- The Royals are 10-19 ATS (run line) on the road this season; the Reds are 15-16 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The OVER is 12-17 for Kansas City on the road and 21-10 for the Reds at home.
- Betting Public: 79% of moneyline tickets and 89% of the handle are on the Reds.
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Kansas City has done a better job making contact at the plate over the last week (.244 to .217 for the Reds). But they didn’t do a lot with the additional hits, scoring 22 runs over the week (five games) to 17 for the Reds. Because of that, and since Burns has been a tough pitcher to generate offense against, and because Kolek has not had his best stuff on the road, I’m going to side with the Reds at home to win outright over the run line (because you can’t trust them to generate enough offense to win by two).
Our Kansas City vs. Cincinnati Pick: Reds ML
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.