Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Chicago White Sox hit .500 (21-21) after winning their last four games, including back-to-back 6-5 wins over the Kansas City Royals.
The White Sox’s offense is smoking hot lately, averaging 6.1 runs per game while batting .268 at the plate. Chicago’s pitching numbers remains mediocre at 4.27 ERA. Still, the White Sox managed to eke out one-run win in their last three games by coming through with tiebreaking hits in the clutch.
Despite their current steak, the White Sox will begin Game 3 as +115 underdogs on the moneyline and -145 on +1.5-run handicap. Lefty Anthony Kay blanked the Seattle Mariners for 5 innings in his last start on May 9.
The Royals dropped to 19-24 in the season after losing their last three games and five of their last seven games.
Over the last five games, Kansas City’s starters have registered a 5.47 ERA with the bullpen giving up a 3.24 ERA. The offense remains productive in this five-game stretch, averaging a respectable 4.5 runs per game on a .239 BA.
Caesars Sportsbook have still installed the Royals as the favorites for Game 3, despite the two close losses, pegging them at -135 moneyline and +122 to cover -1.5 runs. Kris Bubic (3-1, 3.50 ERA) will attempt to continue his mastery of the White Sox, who hasn’t scored a run against the Royals lefty over the last 14 innings across two starts.
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Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
0.521 | 117 | 61 | 56 |
|
27
|
0.412 | 119 | 49 | 70 |
Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
Apr 29, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 5, 2026 - MLB
May 4, 2026 - MLB
May 3, 2026 - MLB
May 2, 2026 - MLB
May 1, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
May 7, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
May 7, 2026 - MLB
May 6, 2026 - MLB
May 5, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 3, 2026 - MLB
May 2, 2026 - MLB
May 1, 2026 - MLB
Apr 30, 2026 - MLB
Chicago White Sox against Kansas City Royals : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
Apr 12, 2026 - MLB
Apr 11, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 9, 2026 - MLB
Chicago White Sox - Kansas City Royals Key Points
- Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
- Kansas City is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road.
- Chicago White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago White Sox's last 9 games against an opponent in the American League Central Division
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Our Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Kris Bubic dazzles again to help the Royals prevent a sweep at the hands of the White Sox.
Bubic has the White Sox’s numbers in his last two starts against the team. In these two mound appearances, Bubic posted 14 scoreless innings, allowed 8 hits and struck out 18 batters. This absurd level of dominance from Bubic helped the Royals to score shutout wins in both games (10-0 on May 8, 2025, and 2-0 on April 10, 2026).
Anthony Kay also delivered 5.2 scoreless innings the last time he faced the Royals. Moreover, Kay will walk onto the mound riding some momentum after pitching five scoreless innings in a 6-1 win over the Seahawks on May 9.
With two strong starters going face-to-face in Game 3, the obvious pick here is to go under 8.0 runs (-110). However, for those bettors with a bigger risk appetite, backing the Royals -1.5 runs makes more sense because of Bubic’s history of dominance against the White Sox, along with its tempting +122 payout.
Our betting prediction for the Kansas City Royals vs. the Chicago White Sox: the Royals -1.5 runs
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