Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
10/6/25 20:15
Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction:

 

UNDER 46.5

-120
$300 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks

The Kansas City Chiefs will go on the road this week to face another AFC team, the Jaguars, at Ever Bank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST on Monday, October 6 and the game will be broadcast as Monday Night Football on ABC.

Fans of the Chiefs may still be riding a high after watching their team dominate the Baltimore Ravens last week, 37-20. Getting Xavier Worthy back was a real boost for the offense; Mahomes ended up targeting him eight times and he caught five for 83 yards. With the deep ball threat back, the rest of the offense seemed to open up, and the game became reminiscent of the early Mahomes days as the Chiefs QB went 25-37 for 270 yards and four touchdowns.  As for the Jaguars, Jacksonville is a surprising 3-1 with wins over Seattle and San Francisco. On offense, they have not looked impressive, but they rank No. 10 in total yards with 348.5 (204.5 passing and 144 rushing); No. 17 in scoring with 24 points per game). Their strength so far has been their defense. It ranks No. 15 in total yards (316.3 per game) but is No. 5 in scoring (18 per game).

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
0.765 17 13 4
24
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
0.353 17 6 11

Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs Latest Matches

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
21 :  26
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
31 :  27
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
26 :  10
Carolina Panthers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
26 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
20 :  13
Tennessee Titans
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
26 :  10
Carolina Panthers

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
20 :  13
Tennessee Titans

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
25 :  32
New York Jets

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
20 :  23
Houston Texans

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
7 :  12
Minnesota Vikings
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
21 :  26
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
31 :  27
Jacksonville Jaguars

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
26 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
6 :  10
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Detroit Lions
52 :  6
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
28 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
37 :  20
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
9 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  20
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
40 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
32 :  29
Buffalo Bills
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
37 :  20
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  20
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
32 :  29
Buffalo Bills

Jan 18, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
23 :  14
Houston Texans

Dec 21, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
27 :  19
Houston Texans

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
9 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
40 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  0
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 25, 2024 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
10 :  29
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
7 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Jacksonville Jaguars against Kansas City Chiefs : Head to Head (H2H)

Jacksonville Jaguars

0 %

Kansas City Chiefs

100 %

Jan 21, 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
27 :  20
Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points

  1. Kansas City leads the all-time series vs. Jacksonville 10-6.
  2. The Chiefs have won the last eight meetings with the Jaguars; Jacksonville’s last win vs. the Chiefs was in 2009.
  3. Betting Public: 93% of moneyline tickets are backing the Chiefs to win outright, but only 67% of spread tickets are backing them to win ATS.
  4. Betting Public: 39% of TOTAL tickets and 28% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Kansas City owned the Jaguars for years, but this year’s KC team has been vulnerable. The offense was fantastic against a beaten and battered Baltimore defense, but the Jaguars have been stingy with points this season. Jacksonville has been one of the better run teams in the league this year (144 ypg); the Chiefs have struggled to stop the run (127 ypg allowed). I’m not confident in either team to win, but I do think the Jaguars will run the ball well against the Chiefs and eat up a lot of clock. Because of that, I’m going with the UNDER.

Our Chiefs vs. Jaguars Pick: UNDER 46.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 46.5

-120
$300 offered for betting!

Grab an extra $300 for your Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs wager!

Bet $5, Get $300

Get ready to experience the thrill of the game with FanDuel's exciting welcome offer, available for use on the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs matchup!

A minimum bet of $5 will qualify for $300 in bonus bets if your bet wins! This offer is a golden opportunity for new users. Don't miss out on this limited-time deal to enhance your sports betting experience with some extra oomph! Jump into the action today and let FanDuel take your sports engagement to the next level!

$300 available for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks