Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Finals

WTA - WTA Finals

WTA 5 USA
Jessica Pegula
11/6/25 09:00
WTA 8 Italy
Jasmine Paolini

Prediction:

 

Jessica Pegula 2-0

-120
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Jessica Pegula of the United States will go up against Jasmine Paolini of Italy on the final day of the round-robin phase of the 2025 WTA Tour Finals.

Pegula, who parades a 5-1 head-to-head series lead against Paolini, is listed at -284 moneyline and as high as +200 at -6.5 games.

Current Form:

Pegula will enter the final day of the round-robin phase with a 1-1 record. The American opened her campaign in Riyadh with a three-set win over Coco Gauff, 6-3, 6-7, 6-2, but she ran out of steam against Aryna Sabalenka 4-6, 6-3, 3-6 on Day 4. Pegula is 2-3 in indoor play and 52-22 overall in 2025.

Meanwhile, Paolini is searching for her first singles win in the tournament after losing to both Sabalenka 3-6, 1-6 and Gauff 3-6, 2-6 in her first two matches. Paolini has won only 54.3 percent of her first serves and converted 22 percent of breakpoint chances in the tournament.

Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Form

Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches

Jessica Pegula Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 4, 2025 - WTA Finals

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

Nov 2, 2025 - WTA Finals

Coco Gauff
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Oct 12, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Oct 9, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Katerina Siniakova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula
Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 4, 2025 - WTA Finals

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Nov 2, 2025 - WTA Finals

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 18, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 17, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Belinda Bencic
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 16, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Veronika Kudermetova
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Jessica Pegula against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)

Jessica Pegula

50 %

Jasmine Paolini

50 %

Sep 21, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Aug 10, 2023 - WTA National Bank Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini
Compare Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini with our comparison tool.

Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini Key Points

  1. Jasmine Paolini lost to Coco Gauff 3-6, 2-6 on Day 4 of the 2025 WTA Tour Finals.
  2. Jasmine Paolini has converted only 22 percent of her breakpoint chances at the WTA Tour Finals.
  3. Jessica Pegula lost to Aryna Sabalenka 4-6, 6-3, 3-6 on Day 4 of the 2025 WTA Tour Finals.
  4. Jessica Pegula is 2-3 in indoor play in 2025.

Our Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Clearly, Jasmine Paolini is having trouble managing her double duty in Riyadh. Aside from competing in the women’s singles, Paolini has teamed up with Sara Errani in the women’s doubles competition. On the other hand, Pegula competed fiercely in her latest tussle with Aryna Sabalenka after pulling off a revenge win over Gauff in the previous match. Pegula also boasts a 5-1 head-to-head record against Paolini, which boosts my confidence that she will be able to easily dispatch the Italian in straight sets on Thursday.

Our betting prediction for Jasmine Paolini vs. Jessica Pegula: Jessica Pegula 2-0

Prediction:

 

Jessica Pegula 2-0

-120
$300+ offered for betting!

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Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Picks