WTA - WTA China Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Jasmine Paolini of Italy will try to secure his place in the quarterfinals of the 2025 China Open as he takes on the upset-minded Marie Bouzkova on Tuesday.
Ranked No.8 in the world, Paolini is a -225 moneyline favorite on DraftKings but she carries more value on the spread line where you can win as high as $160 for every $100 bet.
Current Form:
Paolini barged into the round-of-16 of the 2025 China Open in a terrific form after sweeping Anastasia Sevastova 6-1, 6-3 and Sofia Kenin 6-3, 6-0 in straight sets. The Italian has won five consecutive singles matches, three of which came during Italy’s title-clinching run at the 2025 Billie Jean King Cup. Paolini is 21-9 on the hard court this year.
Bouzkova also entered the fourth round of this WTA 1000 event without dropping a single set. The Czech showcased her class in dispatching Tatjana Maria 6-2, 6-4, Magda Linette 7-5, 7-5 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-3, 7-5, moving one win away from her fifth quarterfinal appearance this season.
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Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova Form
Jasmine Paolini and Marie Bouzkova Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 28, 2025 - WTA China Open
Sep 26, 2025 - WTA China Open
Sep 21, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
Sep 19, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
Sep 16, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
Aug 29, 2025 - WTA US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 28, 2025 - WTA China Open
Sep 26, 2025 - WTA China Open
Sep 24, 2025 - WTA China Open
Aug 25, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 22, 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open
Aug 22, 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open
Jasmine Paolini - Marie Bouzkova Key Points
- Jasmine Paolini defeated Sofia Kenin 6-3, 6-0 in the third round of the 2025 China Open.
- Jasmine Paolini is 21-9 on the hard court in 2025.
- Marie Bouzkova defeated Veronika Kudermetova 6-3. 7-5 in the third round of the 2025 China Open.
- Marie Bouzkova is 18-8 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova Prediction
Riding a five-match win streak and wielding a potent form in this tournament, Jasmine Paolini is projected to hack out a dominant win over Bouzkova in Tuesday’s fourth-round.
MatchStats gives Paolini a 64 percent win probability against Bouzkova, who is 0-5 against the WTA top-10 players this season.
Moreover, Paolini has held 93 percent of her serves after two games at the China Open. Although Bouzkova has converted 70 percent of breakpoint chances in this tourney, she would still have a hard time breaking Paolini, who dropped only one of the 15 service games she played so far.
Our betting prediction for Jasmine Paolini vs. Marie Bouzkova: Jasmine Paolini -4.5 Games
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