Jasmine Paolini vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Picks - WTA Rome

WTA - WTA Rome

WTA 5 Italy
Jasmine Paolini
5/12/25 08:00
WTA 18 Latvia
Jelena Ostapenko

Prediction:

 

Jelena Ostapenko will win

+118
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Jelena Ostapenko of Latvia goes head-to-head with the crowd favorite Jasmine Paolini of Italy in the fourth round of the 2025 Italian Open on Monday.

Ostapenko got a free pass to the fourth round after her opponent, Laura Siegemund, gave her a walkover win on Saturday. Ostapenko, who gutted out a 1-6 6-4 6-3 win over Rebecca Sramkova in the second round, is trying to make another deep run in Rome three weeks after winning the Stuttgart Open titles and a couple of weeks following a shocking second-round exit in Madrid.

Paolini registered two clean wins over Lulu Sun of New Zealand 6-4 6-3 and Ons Jabeur of Turkey 6-4 6-3 to reach the fourth round in Rome. In her battle against Jabeur, Paolini landed 73 percent of her first serves, winning 27 points from these balls. She also scored 4 breakpoint chances and allowed only two service breaks to the Turk.

Jasmine Paolini vs Jelena Ostapenko Form

Jasmine Paolini and Jelena Ostapenko Latest Matches

Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2025 - WTA Rome

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Ons Jabeur

May 8, 2025 - WTA Rome

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Lulu Sun

Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Maria Sakkari
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Katie Boulter
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Apr 20, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini
Jelena Ostapenko Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2025 - WTA Rome

Jelena Ostapenko
withdraw
Laura Siegemund

May 8, 2025 - WTA Rome

Jelena Ostapenko
2 :  1
Rebecca Sramkova

Apr 24, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Anastasija Sevastova
2 :  0
Jelena Ostapenko

Apr 21, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko

Apr 20, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko

Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Jelena Ostapenko
2 :  1
Iga Swiatek

Jasmine Paolini against Jelena Ostapenko : Head to Head (H2H)

Jasmine Paolini

0 %

Jelena Ostapenko

100 %

Feb 12, 2025 - WTA Doha

Jelena Ostapenko
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Aug 28, 2023 - WTA US Open

Jelena Ostapenko
2 :  1
Jasmine Paolini
Compare Jasmine Paolini and Jelena Ostapenko with our comparison tool.

Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points

  1. Jelena Ostapenko reached the fourth round after securing a walkover win vs. Laura Siegemund.
  2. Jelena Ostapenko has a 67 percent win rate on clay
  3. Jasmine Paolini defeated Ons Jabeur 6-4, 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Italian Open.
  4. Jasmine Paolini has a 63.5 percent win rate on clay.

Our Jasmine Paolini vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction

When Jelena Ostapenko is hot, she can beat anyone on the tour, including the top-tier players like Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka. She proved it when she won the 2025 Stuttgart Open, beating the world’s No.1 and 2. Paolini will be feeding off the home crowd's support on Monday, but I can’t rule out the upset ability of Ostapenko, who can pull off a masterful performance when she’s in the groove. Our betting prediction for Jelena Ostapenko vs. Jasmine Paolini: Jelena Ostapenko will win.

Prediction:

 

Jelena Ostapenko will win

+118
$1500 offered for betting!

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Jasmine Paolini vs Jelena Ostapenko Picks